TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$287,817
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$305,836

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,817 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No45c126,729$57,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,198.893,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes55c71,106$39,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,137.623748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bde…8c91backed Yes55c71,090$39,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,099.61425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes55c49,687$27,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,560.7612269.7%85 W · 37 L+14.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No43c10,000$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,699.923444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No44c9,942$4,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,536.633055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Yes55c8,000$4,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,43020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes55c3,591$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.8412955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes54c3,331$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.828755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes36c3,253$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.574337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No65c3,177$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.0512247.5%58 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No47c2,584$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.5124557.6%141 W · 104 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No42c2,439$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.422540%10 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes54c2,400$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29014042.1%59 W · 81 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes58c2,058$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.72650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No68c1,948$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.92,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73a0…dd5bbacked Yes57c1,942$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3a0…e864backed No44c1,942$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f2…f133backed No44c1,895$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a18…9d39backed Yes57c1,894$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5a3…23d3backed Yes57c1,876$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a4…f1e8backed No44c1,876$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9df…70f1backed No44c1,862$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5911…332abacked Yes57c1,862$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes28c1,785$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+32.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x858b…b832backed Yes57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+39.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa296…ab9ebacked Yes57c1,530$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87430%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x683a…3b03backed Yes35c1,281$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56010539%41 W · 64 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd724…b805backed No44c994.23$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.71266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+35.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1319…cf06backed Yes57c993$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-52.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No77c979.99$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.45841.4%24 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6324…95b9backed Yes33c952.71$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.95633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed No45c900$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4951060%6 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+77%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes29c888$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.528129.6%24 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebf…6961backed Yes55c885.4$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf5…f3e9backed No46c885$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002025%5 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-56.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9e93…a140backed Yes57c863.3$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Yes58c862.27$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Yes55c849.12$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.532142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No44c679.04$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.9815151%77 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46c6…a48ebacked Yes55c659.87$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.9320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec2c…1b20backed Yes17c601.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Yes58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes56c506.99$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.929852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2902740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked No46c498.07$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.96520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes26c461.59$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked No44c459.72$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.442268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b98…0e50backed Yes28c392.18$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8130%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8a…d4d8backed Yes44c390.38$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1722343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Yes56c389.75$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.262245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd8…d57fbacked Yes58c357.28$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9342…6e58backed Yes56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No46c349.13$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.53728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe7…44a2backed Yes58c346.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe415…eec9backed Yes31c319.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No42c303.59$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.084959.2%29 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+40.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16510332%33 W · 70 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked No43c299.99$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.992250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes35c266.69$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.623444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed Yes57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked No42c254.51$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.613259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+37.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1458456%47 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes54c241.93$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.6410055%55 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4eb7…5984backed No44c225$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes59c221.78$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.354454.5%24 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf6c…2888backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905724.6%14 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.33016.7%5 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-70.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a18…d4c3backed No66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x288e…9ca7backed Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-31.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1084447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1163956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46d0…b129backed Yes34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Yes54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1086942%29 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142850%14 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No45c191.42$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.283265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd830…7848backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No57c181.2$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.819652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f24…c911backed Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes57c174.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0727…ec27backed Yes58c172.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd19f…cfaabacked Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027537.1%102 W · 173 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70f5…aceebacked Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+52.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No43c172$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.048545.9%39 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No44c167.71$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3718145.9%83 W · 98 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0774…da5dbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f69…c7a2backed Yes57c160$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No45c158$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec75…2e8fbacked No44c157.74$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.33850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes58c146.55$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852040%8 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No43c142$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.947051.4%36 W · 34 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbeb5…050bbacked Yes49c138.31$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.