Asian League · resolved market
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-07-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00901b6b7aeed0b378c87c1d8005992bb3c3a7c808dc00499c27a16f048f6918
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 6,699$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked Yes | 22c | 5,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…775dbacked Yes | 18c | 4,962$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.72 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 22c | 3,500$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 2,665$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.68 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…165cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,954$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.64 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 7c | 1,927$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.16 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 1,926$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.33 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed No | 66c | 1,658$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.87 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 33c | 1,591$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.74 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 1,574$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.2 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked No | 59c | 1,466$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.34 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 78c | 1,096$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.66 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 23c | 910.74$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.75 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 32c | 829.1$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.82 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 23c | 815.27$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.51 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 666$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 79c | 636.94$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.76 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed No | 79c | 474.68$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.68 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 23c | 439.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 59c | 438.89$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.94 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 10c | 396$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 10c | 285.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…5d2ebacked No | 79c | 254.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 9c | 251.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked No | 77c | 211.84$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 10c | 168.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 158.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 18c | 151.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 79c | 144$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…e83ebacked Yes | 42c | 143.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed No | 79c | 141.77$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 78c | 134.04$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…ed47backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eac…694fbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -81%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43cd…cc1bbacked No | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 22c | 119.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…13e6backed No | 75c | 114.56$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 77c | 113.9$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 17c | 98.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 12c | 94.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Yes | 32c | 92.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 22c | 90.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed No | 78c | 72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 78c | 64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…d1c2backed No | 79c | 63.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 65c | 62.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 24c | 55.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 76c | 55.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 78c | 51.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 24c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 59c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 78c | 38.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 77cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Yes | 39c | 35.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07db…29e4backed Yes | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…133cbacked No | 79c | 28.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 26.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 65c | 23.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 78c | 20.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e52…5535backed No | 75c | 14.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-07-26?this page
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-07-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.