Asian League · resolved market
Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7424f452514bc95d7064051fed158b8d9e38030ef582d859f2ebdae0784a11d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked Yes | 17c | 5,216$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 22c | 3,500$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 3c | 3,471$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.46 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 1,900$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.96 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 1,578$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.14 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 42c | 1,353$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.64 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 1c | 1,203$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 77c | 829.9$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.06 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes | 16c | 700$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 39c | 612.01$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.18 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 64c | 598.59$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.39 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Yes | 26c | 581.92$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Yes | 59c | 520.58$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.68 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 25c | 436.39$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.83 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…cd57backed Yes | 6c | 422.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d7…488cbacked No | 35c | 387.28$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 40c | 373.37$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.14 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 22c | 368$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.96 | 118 | 12.7%15 W · 103 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 71c | 350$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 70c | 350$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 15c | 333.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 10c | 316.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +249%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 77c | 283.76$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.71 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc141…292abacked Yes | 6c | 240.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 70c | 240.06$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 24c | 220$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 24c | 204.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.7 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 37c | 188.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.6 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 69c | 178.75$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.13 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 47c | 176$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa643…b4c2backed No | 21c | 155.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…0fc3backed No | 26c | 146.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 77c | 129.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 31c | 125.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 36c | 121.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 30c | 115$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 23c | 110.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…857abacked Yes | 13c | 93.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 75c | 87.84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…e755backed No | 39c | 77.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 21c | 64.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked No | 22c | 64.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 23c | 63.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 60.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 19c | 59.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 22c | 54.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 20c | 51.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 60c | 41.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 53c | 39.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 43c | 39.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…2ff5backed Yes | 65c | 23.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 77c | 20.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 76c | 17.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-07-26?No won
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-07-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.