TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9732…cd57

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Dota2, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 60 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+59.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will SC Internacional vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: Mirassol FC 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+460.3%+$64.44
Spread: Instituto AC Córdoba (-1.5)backed Instituto AC Córdoba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
CA Central Córdoba leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+324.4%+$45.42
CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.99
Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)backed Grêmio FBPA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+391.3%+$82.17
Exact Score: Mirassol FC 0 - 1 Grêmio FBPA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+339.1%+$47.46
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the announcers say "Gianni" or "Infantino" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Ghana to score first vs. Panama?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.79
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+162.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+691.3%+$145.16
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.94
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.09
Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.66
Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)backed Qingdao Hainiu FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Ulsan HD FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+298%+$62.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick15cpaid+63.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick12cpaid+542.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick6cpaid+492.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.68per pick7cpaid+793.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick14cpaid+681.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.99per pick1cpaid+10,316.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+10,316.7%+$1,444.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+500.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+500.2%+$70.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: Deportivo Alavés O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Meta (META) close above $600 on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flau'jae Johnson: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.