Asian League · resolved market
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83bc5f5f76b724460a0d1a3a63c709d394f66e0d2edec927c7e129f06e25d8d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 12c | 5,095$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,478.4 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 25c | 3,075$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.3 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 74c | 2,913$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.16 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 2,453$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.29 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 1c | 2,403$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…dc59backed Yes | 21c | 2,116$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 78c | 1,947$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.64 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…0fc3backed Yes | 12c | 1,928$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 2c | 1,833$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 76c | 1,822$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.8 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +249%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 74c | 1,379$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.41 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,347$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.38 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 14c | 1,195$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.73 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 8c | 1,100$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 283 | 32.5%92 W · 191 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 1,089$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.33 | 387 | 49.6%192 W · 195 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 22c | 870.05$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.45 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 74c | 811.09$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.04 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 25c | 702.41$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.57 | 395 | 49.9%197 W · 198 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed No | 14c | 509$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.74 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 29c | 505$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.4 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 14c | 421.8$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.67 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 26c | 410$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Yes | 3c | 351.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…cd57backed Yes | 7c | 335.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…775dbacked Yes | 6c | 319$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 297.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.68 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked No | 16c | 206.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 24c | 200.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8171…05e3backed Yes | 13c | 167.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 13c | 166$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.42 | 261 | 48.7%127 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked No | 14c | 165.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.19 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked No | 16c | 159.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.05 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Yes | 16c | 158.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed No | 13c | 152$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.61 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 22c | 145.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 135.52$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 24c | 130.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 77c | 128$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 156 | 71.8%112 W · 44 L | +33.6wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 26c | 126.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 19c | 123.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 236 | 60.2%142 W · 94 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 14c | 107.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 20c | 106.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2c…b275backed Yes | 15c | 106.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…f8c5backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 19c | 99.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 24c | 98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 75c | 97$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 95.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…91f4backed No | 22c | 88.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked Yes | 20c | 86.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 12cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 27c | 81.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…2b45backed Yes | 20c | 69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 51c | 67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 75c | 66.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed No | 80c | 49.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…eb8fbacked Yes | 35c | 40.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 21.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 57c | 21.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 70c | 20.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…38a6backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed No | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-08-01?Yes won
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-08-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.