Asian League · resolved market
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-08-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x475f2281d3535d306922f46dc2b393b1afef21daa27e1f8b7690eb0f0458f93b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 5c | 18,273$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,384.09 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 5c | 4,025$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.98 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 8c | 2,656$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.4 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 65c | 2,042$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.7 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 7c | 2,031$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.87 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6f…6c5cbacked Yes | 54c | 1,853$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 58c | 1,807$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.93 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 2c | 1,598$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 1,543$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.34 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…ef30backed No | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked No | 50c | 999.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.99 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 945.57$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.22 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Yes | 5c | 832.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed No | 51c | 780$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.2 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 26c | 639.71$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.58 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 549.65$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.28 | 387 | 49.6%192 W · 195 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 17c | 531.58$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.41 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 79c | 510.21$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.97 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…775dbacked Yes | 29c | 493.76$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.19 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 69c | 448$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.88 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…2e20backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…a2a8backed Yes | 11c | 280.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 246.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.24 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 27c | 222$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.26 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 22c | 205$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.59 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 19c | 191.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.61 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 19c | 168.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ac…7ad0backed No | 51c | 163.43$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Yes | 27c | 140.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 41c | 140.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 44c | 120.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Yes | 35c | 119.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Yes | 77c | 117$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Yes | 25c | 105.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…e83ebacked Yes | 50c | 97.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 46c | 93.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 20c | 92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.34 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 72c | 89.85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 19c | 87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.47 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked No | 66c | 86.93$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 84.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 395 | 49.9%197 W · 198 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 45c | 84.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x572c…c28fbacked Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 33c | 81.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 66c | 79.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 321 | 54.2%174 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 47c | 78.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 34c | 72.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 34c | 69.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 47c | 68.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 236 | 60.2%142 W · 94 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 74c | 67.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 80c | 56.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 35c | 54.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…e9f5backed No | 65c | 53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 68c | 52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 47c | 47.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked No | 47c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 74c | 42.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 66c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Yes | 46c | 29.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 66c | 22.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 562 | 45.4%255 W · 307 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 69c | 18.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa560…767dbacked Yes | 58c | 18.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 66c | 15.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 77c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-08-01?this page
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-08-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.