TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5e2c…b275

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cagliari: Andrea Pellegrino vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.18
Mauthausen: Francesco Maestrelli vs Miguel Damasbacked Francesco Maestrelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.83
Madrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.07
Shymkent 2: Gijs Brouwer vs Ivan Gakhovbacked Ivan Gakhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.59
Madrid Open: Dino Prizmic vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.72
Madrid Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Caty McNallybacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.48
Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Gael Monfilsbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.72
Gwangju: Dane Sweeny vs James McCabebacked James McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$11.29
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico Cinabacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.19
All 10 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-57.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+1,168.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.54
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.07
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$15.52
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.51
All 4 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+733.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stevenage FC win on 2026-08-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.91
Wycombe Wanderers FC vs. Stevenage FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.73
Spread: PFK CSKA Sofia (-1.5)backed PFK CSKA Sofia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
UD Las Palmas vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.61
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Rafa Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$16.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.