South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c6e9d82a10031b8779dbd9885557d521b68624c856b8e3ac7aaef038835294f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $499,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $499,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $499,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 29c | 27,345$7,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,528.13 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 66c | 26,383$17,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,497.28 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 74c | 21,210$15,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,695.54 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 53c | 20,479$10,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,952.29 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 49c | 20,295$10,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,020.34 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 28c | 14,664$4,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,566.37 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +112%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 44c | 14,320$6,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,015.83 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 26c | 14,242$3,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,519.58 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…83a8backed No | 40c | 13,614$5,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,182.68 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed No | 36c | 9,864$3,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,348.16 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 9,430$3,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,402.14 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3ddcbacked No | 39c | 9,201$3,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,609.23 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 59c | 8,220$4,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,872.45 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 64c | 7,929$5,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.73 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed No | 71c | 7,765$5,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.25 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 73c | 7,500$5,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,475 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 74c | 7,403$5,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,478.2 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…4633backed Yes | 76c | 6,568$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…f2a3backed No | 27c | 5,500$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,014.96 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Yes | 67c | 5,071$3,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,398.07 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed No | 70c | 4,865$3,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.1 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298b…f406backed Yes | 58c | 4,776$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Yes | 24c | 3,854$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.3 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 53c | 3,422$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.72 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked No | 72c | 3,310$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.39 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 29c | 3,179$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.4 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec09backed No | 27c | 3,129$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,284.14 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +7.0wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 42c | 3,048$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.34 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 52c | 3,035$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.35 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed No | 27c | 3,007$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.82 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…349cbacked No | 19c | 2,937$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,375.74 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 44c | 2,910$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.95 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Yes | 75c | 2,655$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.69 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed No | 36c | 2,616$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.62 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 51c | 2,600$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.99 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 31c | 2,568$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.21 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked No | 45c | 2,548$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.68 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 13c | 2,534$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.38 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba1…6aefbacked No | 43c | 2,215$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.43 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed No | 69c | 2,008$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked No | 67c | 1,960$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.76 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e75…80ffbacked Yes | 66c | 1,946$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…98eebacked Yes | 26c | 1,818$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed No | 14c | 1,786$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.7 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed No | 16c | 1,708$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.12 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 77c | 1,627$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.4 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 19c | 1,579$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 23c | 1,473$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.83 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…b828backed No | 43c | 1,436$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1510…fe91backed Yes | 76c | 1,412$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.33 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,345$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.94 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -70%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfef…0f2bbacked Yes | 77c | 1,337$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Yes | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcba…c950backed No | 79c | 1,310$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 27c | 1,309$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.78 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Yes | 48c | 1,231$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.58 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed Yes | 36c | 1,168$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.81 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed No | 27c | 1,078$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.86 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed No | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.48 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 24c | 999.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes | 30c | 999.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.77 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 27c | 987.65$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.98 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8b…cb2cbacked No | 51c | 982.05$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.06 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 64c | 954$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.54 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed No | 34c | 926.11$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.99 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 27c | 925.92$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.92 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674b…8284backed No | 28c | 892.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.86 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 73c | 853.54$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.68 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 30c | 849.17$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.54 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 52c | 839.67$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.77 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 30c | 833$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.76 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9426…4cc2backed Yes | 59c | 830.36$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff57…1802backed No | 37c | 792.3$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.15 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 37c | 789.67$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.73 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 48c | 768.89$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.16 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 26c | 752.82$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.86 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Yes | 66c | 746.26$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.53 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Yes | 57c | 713.23$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed No | 69c | 700.29$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.11 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Yes | 74c | 675.79$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Yes | 30c | 666.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed No | 73c | 637.18$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…88f0backed No | 22c | 583.98$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 64c | 527.62$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.94 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 24c | 508.12$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.88 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 40c | 504.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.32 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 78c | 489.85$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.04 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…3b15backed Yes | 33c | 479.5$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No | 27c | 451.44$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 58c | 405.33$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.52 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 26c | 400$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed Yes | 69c | 389.94$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.2 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 27c | 384.84$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.46 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 24c | 383.04$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.18 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…994dbacked Yes | 9c | 377.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…f636backed No | 23c | 372.21$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +210.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 27c | 370$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.1 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Yes | 75c | 365.72$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…0242backed No | 70c | 349.34$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.72 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-12?this page
- Will Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-08-12?No won
- Will SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.