TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,466
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,179

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,466 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed No37c12,175$4,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,504.889454.3%51 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes63c10,021$6,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,710.756944.9%31 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes28c4,445$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,222.718,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes21c3,142$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,477.021,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69d0…6732backed Yes12c2,447$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,155.811952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No9c1,837$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.3912434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes20c1,218$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.6651749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes24c1,114$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.441,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed No7c1,077$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.863016.7%5 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes63c1,076$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.281,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes26c1,018$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.935,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Yes18c999.99$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.9910426.9%28 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes20c995.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.742330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed No27c883.4$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.478818.2%16 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick22cpaid+38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No58c853.33$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.3116641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No2c689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3510618.9%20 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No6c581.33$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6285220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked No9c555.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes58c511.22$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.4816864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfcd0…b719backed Yes20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No68c499.98$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9914654.1%79 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.7821252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No78c420.06$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.71,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No72c407.16$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.762,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes19c398.22$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.331,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No71c362.77$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.9850643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No63c347.56$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.1848547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes30c343.57$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.54346.5%20 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+46.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Yes64c315.5$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.138660.5%52 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4eea…8896backed Yes19c312.66$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.25650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No43c295.47$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1735046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No73c290.9$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.6721938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e85…788bbacked Yes46c225$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Yes20c200$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16012755.9%71 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No6c199.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3115247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes79c197$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0821765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes7c164.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.2429037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No76c162.48$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.131,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebc0…5806backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.253542.9%15 W · 20 L-5.8wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4e0a…f636backed Yes20c155.2$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick24cpaid+210.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No80c153.12$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.55168.6%35 W · 16 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+36.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No35c145.09$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.830847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd069…d078backed No21c135.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5730%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93a4…6bdbbacked Yes19c131.58$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+173.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf08b…7e76backed Yes61c131.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.154562.2%28 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed Yes34c130.97$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4410828.7%31 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes18c125.9$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.243,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No55c123.95$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5951945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes20c118.11$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.311,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes62c112.13$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1319543.1%84 W · 111 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes9c109.6$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2429047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes23c105.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2160156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0011…4333backed No68c105.13$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724965.3%32 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes16c100$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847241.7%30 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9524535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes31c98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6172058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes18c92.08$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.351,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Yes13c87.58$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.081668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+81.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes21c84.92$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.895155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39f9…fcc3backed No69c82.28$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.583534.3%12 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9776951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df3…1753backed Yes78c80$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No80c79.88$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.94841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked No39c72.39$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0810933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No59c71.38$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1789846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb556…b5e5backed No50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.681435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid+9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No68c67.87$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.311,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Yes31c64.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.564143.9%18 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes78c60.56$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.081,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bea…038ebacked No23c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142528%7 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+68.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No21c58.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1182434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed No70c56.58$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.615632.1%18 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Yes49c56.47$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8711640.5%47 W · 69 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e2c…b275backed No24c56.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5440%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes18c56$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.921,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe977…700fbacked No25c55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142626.9%7 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+66.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No80c55$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4478756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes20c52.08$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.664944.9%22 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x077c…5df1backed Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x013f…ca85backed Yes28c48.43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.852850%14 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db6…fa76backed Yes37c46$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.932850%14 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe432…934abacked Yes50c44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes34c39.44$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8532139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes44c36.73$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.663,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes39c31.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3921044.3%93 W · 117 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes80c30.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0935246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe86a…7b4cbacked Yes34c30$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+45.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Yes47c28.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0712948.1%62 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc9b…4238backed Yes50c24.97$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.491172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.27per pick46cpaid+74.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6706…2341backed Yes44c23.59$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4805…4739backed No63c21.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.85366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafe3…1f2abacked Yes61c21.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.311573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No80c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166762.7%42 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2f8…0e89backed No61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.220%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b72…d3f2backed Yes64c15.7$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.