TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,275
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,990

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,275 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c5,987$2,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,709.245,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over38c4,336$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,669.711,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under46c2,712$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.9517249.4%85 W · 87 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over53c2,700$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.982339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba6…5e3fbacked Over55c1,800$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8101931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-41%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Over76c1,276$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.755655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c1,078$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.342,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Over64c1,073$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.873447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a14…cba2backed Under69c903.4$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over31c743.14$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.7710823.1%25 W · 83 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under54c646.25$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.191,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de5…eea0backed Over55c636.52$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under79c627.23$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.992,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under43c616.12$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.259441.5%39 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over21c556.77$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.856735.8%24 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Over78c553.3$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.135669.6%39 W · 17 L+10.2wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+49.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xec3c…528ebacked Under47c492.94$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under15c485.01$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.425937.3%22 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+164.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over52c480$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.43158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under11c478.19$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.84852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under14c405.03$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.563633.3%12 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48de…2d44backed Over55c363.41$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb25…f7f3backed Under14c356.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.861838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Under29c337.41$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8518952.9%100 W · 89 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Over64c323.1$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.011070%7 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+70%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa57e…5e2abacked Over21c314.29$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.29862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+57.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under64c304.69$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1959241.3%38 W · 54 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over32c295.39$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.87650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x662d…d041backed Over21c295.24$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.24862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+57.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38c5…22d8backed Under33c271.38$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.252544%11 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa64f…bcf8backed Under45c241.5$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over46c207.69$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9511441.2%47 W · 67 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over61c204.31$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.123253.1%17 W · 15 L+5.7wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+65.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x760b…6dc8backed Over57c189.49$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.48683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over53c188.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8933452.7%176 W · 158 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8aa…e4d1backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.824242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under71c179.98$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1919753.8%106 W · 91 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under46c169.57$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.271,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f3…4cdfbacked Under43c161.7$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under68c149.97$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7853946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2291…b0c9backed Over55c137.11$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+97.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c8e…c458backed Over55c117.16$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+60.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf4e…e08fbacked Under45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x266c…6963backed Under33c109.4$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-65.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over55c108.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7119751.8%102 W · 95 L+15.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x225f…5978backed Under53c103.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under58c103.37$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3134847.4%165 W · 183 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2272…95a2backed Over76c101.98$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe325…34d0backed Under40c101.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bb1…daf7backed Over20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801560%9 W · 6 L+4.7wins+0.31per pick29cpaid+95.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255644.6%25 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Under18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.775626.8%15 W · 41 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick35cpaid+58.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over45c93.42$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0410837%40 W · 68 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under65c92.05$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2289245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over68c88.39$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.619339.8%37 W · 56 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+50.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under58c84.48$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.766650%33 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Over56c80.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3613051.5%67 W · 63 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over56c76.79$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7910441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9d1…6194backed Over66c75.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.345100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+141.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd684…7e92backed Over32c74.35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.563435.3%12 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+141.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over51c72.55$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.554632.6%15 W · 31 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff4b…334ebacked Over69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.461050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over55c70.91$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.914759.6%28 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75b0…0c9bbacked Over71c70.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.63785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick75cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eac…694fbacked Under60c64.17$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.65714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-81%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Under58c59.79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.616663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.3wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Over50c59.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.634247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Over56c58.93$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.935743.9%25 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over32c58.73$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9411849.2%58 W · 60 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over61c56.07$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.971,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e16…4698backed Over72c55.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.331346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe79f…0204backed Under54c55.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Over58c54.82$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.114250%21 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x914e…8355backed Under41c54.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4690%0 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under41c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.467546.7%35 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over45c48.63$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8137562.7%235 W · 140 L+61.4wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+36.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1092…340cbacked Over26c47.71$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+282.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf67d…2de1backed Under40c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Under58c44.1$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.64875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.84678.3%36 W · 10 L+11.6wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+49.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x3803…7eafbacked Over43c37.39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under78c35$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.314744.9%66 W · 81 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over33c33.48$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.487829.5%23 W · 55 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under54c33.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1818646.2%86 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec5…6093backed Over65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2520638.8%80 W · 126 L-14.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under40c29.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7330%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over56c28.57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.576440.6%26 W · 38 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf938…1e00backed Over72c28.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under39c28.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.879146.2%42 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde78…4aa6backed Over58c27.65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under53c26.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.913464.7%22 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf69f…ffeebacked Under56c21.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-56.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under80c21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.854354.9%298 W · 245 L-12.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e36…aa2ebacked Over79c20.2$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.15683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bc7…23f9backed Under73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over55c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.516237.1%23 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-35.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb651…b4f7backed Over62c16.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under68c15.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.631,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e2c…b275backed Over67c14.94$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.93728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-57.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.