Asian League · resolved market
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96e7b93e470e6a42db4584e1fec44c167f4bc2021b328b247aa927af2a525393
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 39c | 805.11$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.72 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 70c | 669.53$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.74 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…8aa4backed Over | 61c | 545$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.55 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…22d8backed Under | 7c | 372.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…a9dabacked Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 63c | 279.17$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.54 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 278.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2291…b0c9backed Under | 28c | 222.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 42c | 182.93$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.83 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…5e2abacked Over | 61c | 175.41$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x662d…d041backed Over | 61c | 172.13$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 28c | 142.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 40c | 125.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 29c | 110.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 39c | 100.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 34c | 82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 73c | 78.47$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 35c | 73.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 58c | 66.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Under | 41c | 40.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd2…9a46backed Under | 42c | 32.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…6e3fbacked Over | 67c | 29.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe204…b965backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 72c | 19.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 376 | 62.5%235 W · 141 L | +61.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Over | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Over | 69c | 15.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.