Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc830d3c7b9b3ede89ca5ffc72dfa0b3952cb081e56a62b5730c48c8d9459cc68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shanghai Shenhua FCof Shanghai Shenhua FC, Dalian Yingbo FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 78c | 768.83$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.17 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2291…b0c9backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 29c | 272.07$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dalian Yingbo FC | 71c | 272.07$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.17 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Dalian Yingbo FC | 9c | 115$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 52c | 35.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…4394backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.