Asian League · resolved market
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36993c998211b1521cd36504b4a9fe5ffaebde9454b0e55ea77d46fecf535168
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 6,492$3,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,093.66 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 51c | 6,483$3,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,148.93 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over | 49c | 4,885$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.41 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 3,767$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.89 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 50c | 2,670$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.22 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 26c | 2,237$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.07 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 1,616$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.23 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 47c | 937.83$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.78 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 53c | 849.06$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…22d8backed Under | 13c | 659.97$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 39c | 595.61$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.32 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 50c | 585.64$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.24 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…edacbacked Over | 52c | 571.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.47 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 49c | 363.86$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.29 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 351.95$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.42 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 52c | 310.76$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…5e2abacked Over | 39c | 258.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x662d…d041backed Over | 39c | 243.59$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 47c | 211.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 61c | 209.36$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.78 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Over | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 48c | 189.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.09 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 57c | 170.44$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a30…7b6cbacked Under | 48c | 163.6$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd2…9a46backed Over | 37c | 160.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 21c | 142.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 52c | 119.35$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 47c | 103.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 53c | 101.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed29…3024backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Under | 47c | 96.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…e4d1backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 73c | 86.21$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…c458backed Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Under | 56c | 60.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb1…daf7backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 60c | 46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 48c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 61c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x149d…0ecfbacked Over | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 61c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 38c | 30.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 71c | 28.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Under | 62c | 27.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…bb0ebacked Under | 50c | 23.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed Under | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.