Asian League · resolved market
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeda841a8a655859ffeb79cca4b9741a39ce727118f18484f097ef5069700ebb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed Over | 0c | 12,200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 1,545$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.7 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 34c | 1,320$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.03 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 1,298$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 18c | 1,065$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.75 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 23c | 720.69$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.08 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 44c | 531.49$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.71 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Under | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…563dbacked Under | 61c | 485.54$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +84%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 27c | 481.48$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…22d8backed Under | 69c | 453.13$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.25 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 73c | 412.64$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.46 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 6c | 407.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cf…0e7cbacked Over | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Over | 28c | 350.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.45 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Under | 78c | 294.42$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.82 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Under | 67c | 291.12$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.69 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe12…728fbacked Over | 42c | 236.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 39c | 204.89$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb1…daf7backed Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 107 | 73.8%79 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 75c | 199$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x225f…5978backed Under | 63c | 194.85$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 34c | 182.29$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 62c | 160.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.43 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 57c | 150.91$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 75c | 147.01$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 77c | 132.33$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…a33fbacked Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 32c | 101.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…105dbacked Under | 75c | 90.79$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under | 34c | 72.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5087…2d85backed Over | 27c | 70.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…0c9bbacked Under | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…e8eabacked Under | 23c | 60.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…8aa4backed Over | 30c | 59.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…eb8fbacked Under | 31c | 45.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 73c | 40.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x336e…2ae5backed Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Under | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Over | 30c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 61c | 31.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 70c | 30.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Over | 44c | 29.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…b128backed Over | 79c | 25.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Under | 54c | 24.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5a…4063backed Over | 54c | 21.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf1…2f4ebacked Under | 65c | 18.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.