MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f304b711b5a19172b8af9e6cf21150abd839108a803b7853e896c3bd87f4318
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Houston Astros, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $589,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $589,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $589,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 144,548$80,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,601.14 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Houston Astros | 0c | 109,310$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.31 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Houston Astros | 44c | 99,999$44,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,999.56 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Houston Astros | 0c | 53,340$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 43,699$24,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,344.52 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Houston Astros | 44c | 38,570$16,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,970.86 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Houston Astros | 0c | 24,990$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Houston Astros | 0c | 13,920$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Houston Astros | 0c | 13,340$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 42c | 13,272$5,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,556.72 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 13,070$7,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,750.77 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Houston Astros | 0c | 11,480$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1,212 | 50%606 W · 606 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 44c | 10,544$4,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,639.28 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Houston Astros | 38c | 10,149$3,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,873.89 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Houston Astros | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f28…707dbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 8,786$4,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,865.71 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 44c | 7,075$3,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,088.45 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Houston Astros | 23c | 5,888$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.18 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Baltimore Orioles | 72c | 4,766$3,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.78 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 4,545$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.03 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Houston Astros | 21c | 4,543$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.56 | 170 | 14.1%24 W · 146 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 4,100$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 3,500$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.99 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Houston Astros | 44c | 3,369$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.43 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Houston Astros | 25c | 3,268$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.86 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Houston Astros | 12c | 2,184$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.08 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 25c | 2,181$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.7 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 27c | 2,073$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.61 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Houston Astros | 10c | 2,065$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.48 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e9f4backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Houston Astros | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Houston Astros | 8c | 2,000$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.57 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb58f…a45cbacked Houston Astros | 10c | 1,930$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Houston Astros | 44c | 1,761$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Houston Astros | 28c | 1,737$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.21 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 77c | 1,706$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.45 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Houston Astros | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Houston Astros | 18c | 1,528$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.74 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Houston Astros | 13c | 1,400$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Houston Astros | 45c | 1,392$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.4 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 1,261$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 1,248$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.38 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Houston Astros | 23c | 1,237$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.56 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Houston Astros | 44c | 1,185$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.47 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Houston Astros | 24c | 1,180$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.51 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Baltimore Orioles | 77c | 1,171$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.21 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Houston Astros | 25c | 1,145$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.95 | 1,153 | 42.8%494 W · 659 L | -37.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Houston Astros | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 1,126$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.5 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 73c | 1,111$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.87 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 1,088$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.72 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 10c | 1,074$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.75 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f3…ac83backed Houston Astros | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 75c | 1,010$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.55 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 1,010$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.8 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Houston Astros | 44c | 1,001$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.61 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Houston Astros | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 940$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.6 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Houston Astros | 14c | 900$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Houston Astros | 44c | 881.45$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.84 | 523 | 47.2%247 W · 276 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 822.3$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 799.95$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.31 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Houston Astros | 22c | 750$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf01a…cc6abacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 712.7$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 653.57$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.57 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 625$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles | 74c | 617.31$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.97 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 594.64$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.64 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…0d22backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 592.98$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Houston Astros | 44c | 570$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c0…db73backed Baltimore Orioles | 75c | 517.12$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.35 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Houston Astros | 18c | 480$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.91 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Houston Astros | 22c | 472.75$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.03 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 444$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.36 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Houston Astros | 45c | 438.66$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Houston Astros | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.95 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Baltimore Orioles | 76c | 391.45$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.36 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Houston Astros | 10c | 361.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 350$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Houston Astros | 16c | 348$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Baltimore Orioles | 70c | 343.53$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.34 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 323.18$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.43 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ab…3ebdbacked Houston Astros | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Houston Astros | 36c | 300$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Houston Astros | 23c | 283.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…4f90backed Houston Astros | 45c | 251.11$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Houston Astros | 23c | 246.35$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 246$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9087…9532backed Houston Astros | 4c | 232$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Houston Astros | 43c | 227.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 848 | 40.2%341 W · 507 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Houston Astros | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 816 | 57.1%466 W · 350 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…7cbebacked Houston Astros | 45c | 217.78$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Houston Astros | 22c | 203.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Houston Astros | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.