TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3368…4f90

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT4936.7%18 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.52
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kansas City Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Washington Nationals vs. New York Metsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$42.42
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$113
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.59
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padresbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.45
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.94
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.68
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.06
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.24
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astrosbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.67
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+149.1%+$96.31
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+114.9%+$46.7
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+217.8%+$165.42
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.82
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$129.26
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.91
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.74
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$20.1
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+51.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$26.88
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.93
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$74.93
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.82
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.17
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$54.64
All 6 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+83.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+267.6%+$34.79
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$45.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+124.1%+$72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.