South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77cbee0d028eb29b6cf656713ca8805dc2b6dd40e565bf54107991cd03a78b1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 11,170$8,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,118.6 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 28c | 8,039$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.96 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…7a37backed Yes | 3c | 7,500$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 6,022$4,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.6 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Yes | 21c | 5,610$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 19c | 2,061$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…3303backed Yes | 14c | 1,919$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0960…5adcbacked Yes | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…d51ebacked Yes | 28c | 764.04$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6b…aaa3backed Yes | 3c | 738.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…a830backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e93…2f9dbacked Yes | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 630.98$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.67 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 25c | 527.65$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.91 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3401…2c62backed Yes | 7c | 404.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…643cbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…5e62backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 277.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.79 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 25c | 222.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7f…5fc3backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…0404backed Yes | 8c | 209.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 12c | 204.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 72c | 199.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 28c | 172.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 161.81$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 154$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 151.77$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 146$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 28c | 145$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 141.95$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 72c | 130$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 128.3$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed No | 75c | 120.32$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Yes | 28c | 107.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 73c | 105$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d0…5444backed Yes | 28c | 101.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…1ad4backed Yes | 18c | 100.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6e…ad3dbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 26c | 96.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…330bbacked No | 73c | 88.36$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 28c | 84.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 19c | 78.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc97…7172backed Yes | 26c | 76.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8a…cd17backed Yes | 27c | 74.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b8…19e4backed Yes | 27c | 74.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…476abacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…4f90backed Yes | 26c | 69.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c1…da5fbacked No | 75c | 68.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 27c | 66.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 21c | 58.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 73c | 55.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 76c | 42.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 76c | 39.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6861…b317backed Yes | 28c | 39.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 73c | 36.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 105 | 64.8%68 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 72c | 35.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 78c | 34.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed No | 78c | 33.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…2d83backed No | 73c | 32.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 73c | 27.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 73c | 27.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed No | 73c | 26.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 78c | 26.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…ba99backed No | 74c | 25.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad76…93febacked No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 73c | 22.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa434…e508backed No | 74c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 73c | 18.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 76c | 18.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…a8a1backed No | 74c | 15.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will SC Internacional vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Internacional win on 2026-05-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.