South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Internacional vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8f86fc7914891c4b87386982ed17fd01328b06b72ba7d45aba09f04450fe354
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 70c | 1,946$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,086$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.86 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…3303backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 419.85$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.3 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 30c | 330.32$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…0404backed Yes | 11c | 208.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 30c | 164$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 156.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 154.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 25c | 117.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 23c | 104.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a94…b335backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 99.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 30c | 85.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 85.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 82.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…d3babacked Yes | 31c | 74.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…5294backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 67.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 31c | 61.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 70c | 50.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1d72backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked No | 71c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 29c | 43.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 78c | 40.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 28c | 40.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 71c | 38.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f01dbacked No | 71c | 35.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 63c | 33.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Yes | 38c | 27.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Yes | 38c | 27.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 78c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 76c | 26.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e59…bd35backed No | 71c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed No | 71c | 17.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +6.6wins | +0.44per pick | 43cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 80c | 17.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 78c | 14.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.81 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Internacional vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-03?No won
- Will SC Internacional win on 2026-05-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.