MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc1bf6d259a326897f03d2b3f886d878e7161adc4b504adf1e817e9e22621646
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof New York Yankees, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $456,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $531,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $456,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Yankees | 49c | 78,662$38,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,896.28 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Houston Astros | 48c | 77,536$36,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,570.44 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked New York Yankees | 54c | 57,167$30,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,870.08 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Houston Astros | 45c | 41,523$18,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,837.92 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Houston Astros | 44c | 19,672$8,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,973.02 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees | 54c | 12,239$6,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,632.56 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 12,179$6,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,820.48 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees | 56c | 11,880$6,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,652.61 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 78c | 10,644$8,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.57 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Houston Astros | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.98 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed New York Yankees | 0c | 7,546$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees | 36c | 7,469$2,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.35 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed New York Yankees | 57c | 6,836$3,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,896.8 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 22c | 6,748$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.68 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…5b2fbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 5,818$3,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,258.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked New York Yankees | 0c | 5,400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Houston Astros | 44c | 5,003$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.22 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 45c | 4,976$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,754.53 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked New York Yankees | 1c | 4,736$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 3,951$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.38 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Houston Astros | 64c | 3,538$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.59 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed New York Yankees | 3c | 3,400$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.17 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Houston Astros | 45c | 3,385$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.48 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Houston Astros | 45c | 2,901$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.55 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Houston Astros | 67c | 2,668$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.59 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked New York Yankees | 33c | 2,599$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.26 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed New York Yankees | 25c | 2,292$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed New York Yankees | 55c | 2,280$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 68c | 2,230$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.37 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Houston Astros | 44c | 2,197$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.11 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed New York Yankees | 55c | 2,123$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.6 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Houston Astros | 45c | 2,110$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.58 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Houston Astros | 46c | 2,103$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.88 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…d911backed Houston Astros | 45c | 2,055$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 55c | 1,883$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.64 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 20c | 1,847$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.6 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed New York Yankees | 55c | 1,767$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.03 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed New York Yankees | 55c | 1,666$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.21 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 33c | 1,605$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.32 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Houston Astros | 73c | 1,484$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.81 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked New York Yankees | 31c | 1,237$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.44 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked New York Yankees | 47c | 1,114$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.46 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 44c | 1,100$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.49 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Houston Astros | 45c | 1,005$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.33 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed New York Yankees | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked New York Yankees | 35c | 991.46$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.49 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 969.98$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.19 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Houston Astros | 73c | 922.95$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.11 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked New York Yankees | 2c | 904.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Houston Astros | 58c | 819.03$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.13 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed New York Yankees | 55c | 781.48$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.81 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…7d88backed New York Yankees | 32c | 749.38$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154a…86b0backed New York Yankees | 13c | 729.08$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 52c | 726.81$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 71c | 686.85$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.05 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe1…9f94backed Houston Astros | 63c | 602.64$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.11 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed New York Yankees | 32c | 599.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed Houston Astros | 53c | 599.96$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed New York Yankees | 54c | 592.49$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.38 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed New York Yankees | 53c | 590.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.35 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Yankees | 55c | 590.57$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.81 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…15b9backed Houston Astros | 55c | 583.8$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.71 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked New York Yankees | 13c | 578.3$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed New York Yankees | 55c | 560$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Houston Astros | 51c | 557.75$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.1 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked New York Yankees | 55c | 530.73$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.9 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…b757backed New York Yankees | 55c | 530.73$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.9 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 44c | 504.99$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.2 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Yankees | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Houston Astros | 45c | 491.36$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Houston Astros | 49c | 484.7$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.2 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed New York Yankees | 6c | 471.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed New York Yankees | 6c | 454.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed New York Yankees | 56c | 444.36$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.84 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed New York Yankees | 55c | 442.27$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.25 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed New York Yankees | 56c | 438.12$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.35 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed New York Yankees | 55c | 437.32$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.53 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Houston Astros | 53c | 419.28$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.59 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Houston Astros | 65c | 416.84$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 409.79$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.19 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked New York Yankees | 14c | 400$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 74c | 393.48$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.72 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…4fcfbacked New York Yankees | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 340$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.29 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed New York Yankees | 30c | 305.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9a…1ff9backed New York Yankees | 3c | 304.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed New York Yankees | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked New York Yankees | 12c | 300$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed New York Yankees | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…4f90backed New York Yankees | 46c | 292.97$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.67 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa44d…edf1backed Houston Astros | 51c | 285.47$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.88 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked New York Yankees | 30c | 280.91$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked New York Yankees | 27c | 276.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.72 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Houston Astros | 68c | 271.89$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.61 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…2222backed New York Yankees | 55c | 265.36$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.95 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…045abacked New York Yankees | 13c | 248.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…629abacked New York Yankees | 55c | 244.93$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.08 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Houston Astros | 58c | 237.55$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.77 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 230$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.1 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked New York Yankees | 21c | 216.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-5.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-6.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Houston AstrosYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.