MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7937b781d42d86cdadeaa02c2ce661b36c1ec64afb469260e6835b36ee65c3a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $247,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x986b…12e9backed Under | 52c | 217,005$113,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113,777.3 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 88,967$41,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,152.54 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 49,373$23,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,514.52 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 47c | 19,745$9,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,468.44 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Over | 49c | 18,596$9,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,494.9 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Over | 48c | 12,000$5,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,270 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 59c | 5,797$3,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,384.34 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaae4…9789backed Over | 48c | 5,735$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,983.21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 4,341$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.98 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 4,000$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 48c | 2,182$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.81 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 1,600$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.71 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 48c | 1,584$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.67 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 1,550$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.73 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Under | 50c | 1,533$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.42 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 48c | 1,532$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.9 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 56c | 1,521$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.83 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 48c | 1,229$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.28 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Under | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 43c | 1,031$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.43 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 742.58$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.77 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 18c | 732.92$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.21 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 729$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.08 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Under | 50c | 713.36$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.68 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 50c | 679$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.5 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 71c | 671.02$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.08 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 49c | 497.89$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.92 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 49c | 402.99$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.46 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 49c | 311.35$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 52c | 310.7$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.89 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Under | 10c | 304.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 82 | 15.9%13 W · 69 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 48c | 302.75$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.43 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 47c | 267.22$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.63 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Over | 55c | 265.74$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.8 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 45c | 251.13$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.01 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 53c | 213.12$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 51c | 208.59$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.21 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 202.08$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.08 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Over | 60c | 201.08$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.97 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 45c | 183.23$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 59c | 165.28$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Under | 28c | 160.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -10.3wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 48c | 152.3$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked Over | 49c | 134.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 61c | 132.59$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 61c | 131.02$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 57c | 124.93$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.51 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…1ef3backed Under | 56c | 97.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.47 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 90.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Over | 55c | 88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Under | 50c | 87.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 47c | 87.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 78c | 68.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 45c | 65.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 50c | 64.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 361 | 57.9%209 W · 152 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 66c | 63.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 55c | 61.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…be67backed Over | 60c | 55.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 26c | 53.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…5200backed Over | 53c | 53.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 48c | 50.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 48c | 46.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 49c | 42.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 54c | 39.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 52c | 36.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 268 | 53.4%143 W · 125 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Under | 52c | 35.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Over | 44c | 34.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -13.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Over | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Over | 48c | 31.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 48c | 31.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7de…4a98backed Over | 51c | 30.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 53c | 30.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Under | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 303 | 50.8%154 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 50c | 28.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Over | 61c | 22.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 51c | 21.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33cb…cdf7backed Under | 68c | 20.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 56c | 19.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 51c | 19.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Over | 68c | 19.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5this page
- New York Yankees vs. Houston AstrosHouston Astros won
- New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-5.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-6.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Houston AstrosYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.