TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x33cb…cdf7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Cricket, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 59 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+122%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+2,874.8%+$408.32
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.69
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.25
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.05
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+88.4%+$18.48
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$42.14
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+101.9%+$29.89
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$41.6
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.48
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.9
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+75.3%+$29.38
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.96
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+181.1%+$21.85
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.03
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$24.78
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.31
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.2
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+128.3%+$32.93
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.97
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$32.5
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$43.61
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.79
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+84.1%+$12.44
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.85
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padresbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.3
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+174.2%+$28.24
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.25
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 15.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+170.5%+$34.73
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$8.9
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.82
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astrosbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$7.96
Athletics vs. Texas Rangersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.02
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.12
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.26
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.78
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.11
Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+189.5%+$68.7
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$5.19
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+164.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+37.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.61
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+142.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+385.3%+$93.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$24.44
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.77
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+274%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+274%+$692.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: MIBR vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+111.1%+$18.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BIG (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$7.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.