Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d59695e17036ee8e366a323662bb882244cecbaf5097da58b08629303735dc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, BetBoom Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $868,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,038,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $868,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 434 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed BetBoom Team | 53c | 136,661$71,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,896.23 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed BetBoom Team | 56c | 46,400$25,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,835.54 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Aurora | 49c | 45,555$22,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,233 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Aurora | 44c | 33,370$14,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,623.55 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed BetBoom Team | 51c | 33,109$16,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,885.43 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Aurora | 48c | 31,250$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,249.99 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Aurora | 67c | 30,613$20,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,069.57 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 50c | 29,549$14,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,801.24 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed BetBoom Team | 52c | 29,000$15,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,079.98 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Aurora | 47c | 22,742$10,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,034.07 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Aurora | 58c | 18,945$10,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,986.57 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed Aurora | 49c | 18,411$9,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,394.65 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Aurora | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Aurora | 48c | 12,469$5,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,483.82 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Aurora | 50c | 11,931$5,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,965.59 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Aurora | 46c | 11,852$5,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,350 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 48c | 11,594$5,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,057.93 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Aurora | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed BetBoom Team | 50c | 9,713$4,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,856.74 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Aurora | 48c | 7,750$3,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,031.15 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Aurora | 47c | 7,151$3,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,762.65 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Aurora | 51c | 6,558$3,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,204.16 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Aurora | 48c | 6,332$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,292.67 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed BetBoom Team | 8c | 6,238$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.96 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed BetBoom Team | 50c | 6,017$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.19 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked BetBoom Team | 51c | 5,823$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,967.03 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked BetBoom Team | 35c | 5,506$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.06 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Aurora | 48c | 5,242$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,725.64 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed BetBoom Team | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Aurora | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.99 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c75…1b0dbacked Aurora | 49c | 4,900$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.24 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked BetBoom Team | 36c | 4,693$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.01 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed BetBoom Team | 57c | 4,670$2,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652.2 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed BetBoom Team | 26c | 4,407$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.73 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377b…5cb1backed BetBoom Team | 50c | 4,402$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked BetBoom Team | 44c | 4,375$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.9 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed BetBoom Team | 47c | 4,296$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.98 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora | 57c | 4,213$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.87 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Aurora | 57c | 4,199$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.38 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora | 48c | 4,044$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.83 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Aurora | 48c | 4,037$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.27 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed BetBoom Team | 21c | 3,987$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.37 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Aurora | 49c | 3,957$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.13 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed BetBoom Team | 45c | 3,761$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.5 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 57c | 3,716$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.71 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed BetBoom Team | 20c | 3,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Aurora | 60c | 3,392$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.77 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Aurora | 47c | 3,346$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.1 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Aurora | 59c | 3,315$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.48 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked BetBoom Team | 51c | 3,235$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.02 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Aurora | 61c | 3,168$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.68 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Aurora | 64c | 3,079$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.43 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked Aurora | 49c | 3,059$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.09 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora | 48c | 3,000$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Aurora | 49c | 2,976$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.71 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed BetBoom Team | 51c | 2,969$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Aurora | 50c | 2,946$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Aurora | 69c | 2,860$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.94 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…d634backed BetBoom Team | 21c | 2,854$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.95 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked BetBoom Team | 29c | 2,827$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.62 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Aurora | 47c | 2,811$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.23 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed BetBoom Team | 50c | 2,718$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f78…b642backed BetBoom Team | 2c | 2,450$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed BetBoom Team | 51c | 2,370$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.39 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Aurora | 39c | 2,264$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.28 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 59c | 2,246$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.1 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked BetBoom Team | 31c | 2,200$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6438…fc41backed Aurora | 47c | 2,040$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…efeebacked BetBoom Team | 2c | 2,035$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed Aurora | 48c | 2,018$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.53 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Aurora | 48c | 2,010$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.47 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked BetBoom Team | 52c | 2,003$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.27 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked BetBoom Team | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Aurora | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed BetBoom Team | 46c | 1,977$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.94 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…3d54backed BetBoom Team | 51c | 1,968$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.6 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked BetBoom Team | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.8 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed BetBoom Team | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.98 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4ca5backed BetBoom Team | 15c | 1,779$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.03 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7e…d654backed BetBoom Team | 53c | 1,650$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked BetBoom Team | 52c | 1,632$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.57 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed BetBoom Team | 50c | 1,601$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.83 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Aurora | 43c | 1,572$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.17 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed BetBoom Team | 51c | 1,544$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.34 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Aurora | 48c | 1,537$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.99 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked Aurora | 77c | 1,527$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.31 | 173 | 73.4%127 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked BetBoom Team | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…2259backed BetBoom Team | 53c | 1,486$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.17 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked BetBoom Team | 51c | 1,477$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.74 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed BetBoom Team | 53c | 1,469$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.41 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4c…5082backed BetBoom Team | 53c | 1,458$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.58 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked BetBoom Team | 33c | 1,456$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.9 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked BetBoom Team | 51c | 1,427$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.95 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d3…cdacbacked Aurora | 47c | 1,426$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.66 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Aurora | 47c | 1,365$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.44 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Aurora | 48c | 1,362$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.31 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed BetBoom Team | 23c | 1,341$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.93 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed BetBoom Team | 47c | 1,208$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.55 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed BetBoom Team | 50c | 1,208$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.07 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)BetBoom Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.