Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff515db267799b512f36c7f06d1e704f8de684ad1685d0b0804fc5a4155654f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof Aurora, BetBoom Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $879,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,097,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $879,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 459 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed BetBoom Team | 51c | 84,523$42,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,612.93 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Aurora | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed BetBoom Team | 21c | 51,561$10,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,659.97 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Aurora | 43c | 35,376$15,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,203.62 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed BetBoom Team | 58c | 28,613$16,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,143.42 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed BetBoom Team | 59c | 18,132$10,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,414.27 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed BetBoom Team | 54c | 14,736$7,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,770.21 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed BetBoom Team | 75c | 13,266$10,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,257.55 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed BetBoom Team | 26c | 12,659$3,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,362.14 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Aurora | 45c | 11,191$5,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,041.24 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Aurora | 47c | 11,111$5,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,222.16 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Aurora | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.99 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Aurora | 28c | 9,988$2,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,827.35 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked BetBoom Team | 39c | 9,339$3,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,686.18 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed BetBoom Team | 34c | 9,043$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,988.07 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Aurora | 44c | 8,197$3,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,593.52 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Aurora | 39c | 7,419$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.12 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa8…b715backed BetBoom Team | 78c | 6,993$5,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked BetBoom Team | 53c | 6,963$3,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,244.67 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Aurora | 43c | 6,149$2,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,628.29 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93f6…4814backed Aurora | 28c | 5,742$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa131…5222backed Aurora | 1c | 5,682$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4c…5082backed Aurora | 46c | 5,564$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566.99 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c75…1b0dbacked Aurora | 30c | 5,440$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.11 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed BetBoom Team | 57c | 5,246$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.92 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Aurora | 42c | 5,178$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.83 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Aurora | 35c | 4,859$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.12 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed BetBoom Team | 70c | 4,315$3,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.81 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed BetBoom Team | 25c | 4,039$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.43 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked BetBoom Team | 72c | 3,813$2,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.01 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked BetBoom Team | 55c | 3,798$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.05 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Aurora | 60c | 3,730$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.77 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Aurora | 56c | 3,597$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.86 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked BetBoom Team | 58c | 3,551$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.36 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 41c | 3,486$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.25 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora | 40c | 3,163$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.25 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Aurora | 34c | 3,139$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.1 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed BetBoom Team | 57c | 3,075$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.07 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Aurora | 46c | 3,000$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Aurora | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked BetBoom Team | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed BetBoom Team | 58c | 2,801$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.25 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed BetBoom Team | 49c | 2,771$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.9 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora | 49c | 2,763$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.65 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f78…b642backed Aurora | 1c | 2,704$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed BetBoom Team | 50c | 2,671$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.38 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Aurora | 46c | 2,659$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.85 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed BetBoom Team | 69c | 2,554$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.88 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked BetBoom Team | 54c | 2,358$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.56 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed BetBoom Team | 48c | 2,353$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.15 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed BetBoom Team | 65c | 2,267$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.16 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed BetBoom Team | 57c | 2,250$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.5 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed BetBoom Team | 40c | 2,250$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.5 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed BetBoom Team | 57c | 2,220$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.6 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Aurora | 44c | 2,196$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.89 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed BetBoom Team | 78c | 2,181$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.35 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 47c | 2,174$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.62 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed BetBoom Team | 56c | 2,124$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.52 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Aurora | 1c | 2,100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 122 | 17.2%21 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Aurora | 75c | 2,065$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.58 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked BetBoom Team | 43c | 2,045$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.04 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed BetBoom Team | 43c | 2,042$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.61 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…4cfabacked BetBoom Team | 21c | 2,031$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.44 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed BetBoom Team | 60c | 2,030$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.22 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Aurora | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.99 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.99 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Aurora | 45c | 1,988$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.6 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed BetBoom Team | 53c | 1,960$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.2 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…daf0backed Aurora | 41c | 1,820$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.8 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce0…72c1backed Aurora | 34c | 1,813$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.66 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Aurora | 52c | 1,809$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.06 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked BetBoom Team | 71c | 1,803$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.62 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed BetBoom Team | 54c | 1,794$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.35 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed BetBoom Team | 58c | 1,681$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.89 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed BetBoom Team | 74c | 1,636$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.11 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked BetBoom Team | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked BetBoom Team | 62c | 1,572$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.75 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed BetBoom Team | 64c | 1,520$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.05 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Aurora | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked BetBoom Team | 56c | 1,497$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.34 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed BetBoom Team | 57c | 1,491$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.12 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Aurora | 34c | 1,427$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.11 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed BetBoom Team | 50c | 1,426$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.76 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Aurora | 42c | 1,400$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Aurora | 64c | 1,396$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.76 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked BetBoom Team | 4c | 1,347$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.2 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Aurora | 39c | 1,345$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.76 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed BetBoom Team | 66c | 1,318$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.29 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 26c | 1,277$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.47 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 47c | 1,184$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.43 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Aurora | 66c | 1,135$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.17 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked BetBoom Team | 53c | 1,125$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.82 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…efeebacked Aurora | 6c | 1,118$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Aurora | 44c | 1,087$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.34 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed BetBoom Team | 57c | 1,075$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed BetBoom Team | 50c | 1,016$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Aurora | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Aurora | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked BetBoom Team | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Aurora | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)BetBoom Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.