MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76259fab0b02b18fa19bf73601e7d26f48967bc32ee207ecefa3587428b89f33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof Miami Marlins, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $608,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $620,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $608,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 210,018$104,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,848.78 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,000 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 68c | 74,998$51,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,867.12 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Miami Marlins | 6c | 61,812$3,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,922.04 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861a…1f15backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…12e9backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 37,667$18,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,833.73 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 35,000$17,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,500 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 21,172$11,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,213.96 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 14,062$6,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,620.69 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 11,737$5,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,868.5 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 26c | 11,694$3,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,045.26 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed San Francisco Giants | 70c | 10,157$7,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065.99 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 9,700$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 8,262$4,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,048.19 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants | 75c | 7,870$5,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.21 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…7d85backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 7,797$3,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,782.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 7,378$4,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,183.07 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 7,189$3,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,594.43 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Miami Marlins | 23c | 7,001$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.52 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 5,785$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,836.98 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants | 69c | 5,436$3,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.96 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Miami Marlins | 9c | 5,252$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.7 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked San Francisco Giants | 53c | 4,436$2,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.8 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 3,859$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.48 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 3,604$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.96 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 3,527$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.74 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Francisco Giants | 70c | 3,402$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.37 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a9…dc10backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 3,126$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked San Francisco Giants | 62c | 2,944$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.41 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x419e…8f3abacked Miami Marlins | 3c | 2,928$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 23c | 2,789$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.57 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 2,457$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.03 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed San Francisco Giants | 70c | 1,999$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.98 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 1,792$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.24 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Miami Marlins | 8c | 1,753$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.2 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Miami Marlins | 4c | 1,624$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 1,590$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.11 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Miami Marlins | 9c | 1,576$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.81 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 1,559$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.37 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,513$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.27 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed San Francisco Giants | 69c | 1,451$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.03 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e72…5217backed Miami Marlins | 1c | 1,229$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Miami Marlins | 26c | 1,158$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.1 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,155$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.57 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,132$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.83 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,131$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.28 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,024$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.53 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.7 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 960.33$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.91 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Francisco Giants | 77c | 925.86$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.53 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 900$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Miami Marlins | 11c | 789.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 776$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd126…72c7backed Miami Marlins | 8c | 769.09$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked San Francisco Giants | 67c | 710.38$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.29 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 698.41$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.17 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 679$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.5 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked San Francisco Giants | 39c | 644.79$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.32 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed San Francisco Giants | 64c | 632.17$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 30cpaid | +267.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 601.03$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.5 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1290…5269backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 587.28$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03fa…4911backed Miami Marlins | 5c | 579.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 575.32$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.21 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 7c | 571.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 532.42$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.75 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 501.36$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.31 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 485$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…5a1dbacked Miami Marlins | 8c | 477.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Miami Marlins | 7c | 472.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 466.92$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.12 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…1075backed Miami Marlins | 65c | 463.07$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.99 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 461.05$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.3 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 449.99$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.56 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 433.21$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.28 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Miami Marlins | 8c | 386.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 378.77$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.81 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 343.71$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.85 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Miami Marlins | 25c | 337.01$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.64 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 331.15$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.26 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 320.2$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.32 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cd…9740backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 290$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Miami Marlins | 37c | 288.54$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.51 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 287.63$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.06 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…424bbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 281.47$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…0fd2backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 274.21$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 259.96$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.98 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Miami Marlins | 8c | 242.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 238.32$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 232.94$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.14 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 232.55$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.97 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 204.62$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.61 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giantsthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 4.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco GiantsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.