MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85098be8d7827de42752c1daf594e5f78239b243de4778a660310e1fcf747a8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $447,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $488,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $447,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 341 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed New York Yankees | 59c | 48,770$28,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,995.7 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 35c | 45,231$15,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,825.19 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Houston Astros | 44c | 41,404$18,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,290.83 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Yankees | 59c | 23,991$14,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800.23 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked New York Yankees | 74c | 23,198$17,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,056.74 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Houston Astros | 43c | 21,588$9,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,193.04 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed New York Yankees | 52c | 18,669$9,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,910.63 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 17,207$10,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,054.69 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbd…c1fabacked Houston Astros | 1c | 16,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 14,816$6,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,604.32 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed New York Yankees | 56c | 13,947$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,146.91 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees | 59c | 11,817$6,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,847.62 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed New York Yankees | 69c | 10,215$7,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,162.93 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Houston Astros | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed New York Yankees | 59c | 9,754$5,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,999.14 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked New York Yankees | 50c | 9,616$4,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,807.94 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 35c | 9,609$3,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,401.17 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Houston Astros | 42c | 6,894$2,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,895.6 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 47c | 6,754$3,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,174.93 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 41c | 6,613$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.27 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Houston Astros | 40c | 5,683$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.91 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 5,452$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.64 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 41c | 5,101$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.22 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x720e…17b0backed New York Yankees | 76c | 4,916$3,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.95 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Houston Astros | 41c | 4,878$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.98 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Houston Astros | 43c | 4,043$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.43 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.93 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 23c | 3,258$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.82 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked New York Yankees | 63c | 2,863$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.61 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Houston Astros | 39c | 2,594$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.84 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Houston Astros | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.98 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 35c | 2,315$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.09 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 2,267$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.54 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed New York Yankees | 51c | 2,142$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.97 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 2,040$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.71 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Houston Astros | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Houston Astros | 4c | 1,758$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.67 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d0…5a98backed New York Yankees | 62c | 1,748$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 33c | 1,700$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.91 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Houston Astros | 28c | 1,479$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.37 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed New York Yankees | 55c | 1,382$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.11 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 1,357$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.77 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 46c | 1,268$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.14 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Houston Astros | 47c | 1,222$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.16 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed New York Yankees | 59c | 1,101$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.43 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d4…a050backed New York Yankees | 57c | 1,062$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed New York Yankees | 57c | 1,020$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.6 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Houston Astros | 35c | 1,016$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.7 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Houston Astros | 29c | 990.41$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.22 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Houston Astros | 41c | 944$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.04 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Yankees | 73c | 877.51$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.58 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed New York Yankees | 51c | 873.54$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.03 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed New York Yankees | 57c | 854.56$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.46 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees | 51c | 852.21$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.18 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked New York Yankees | 73c | 847.21$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.81 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed New York Yankees | 58c | 767.45$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.7 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Houston Astros | 6c | 736.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed New York Yankees | 59c | 721.8$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.94 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…0a6ebacked New York Yankees | 58c | 672.28$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.36 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed New York Yankees | 76c | 625.99$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.88 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed Houston Astros | 43c | 539.05$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.79 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees | 57c | 534.95$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.98 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed New York Yankees | 47c | 511.14$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.9 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed Houston Astros | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Yankees | 57c | 499$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.48 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b07…98a7backed New York Yankees | 58c | 487.4$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.71 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Houston Astros | 38c | 483.04$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.14 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 481.48$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.74 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed New York Yankees | 53c | 455.59$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.59 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Houston Astros | 41c | 453.56$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.96 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 453.34$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49bc…5899backed New York Yankees | 56c | 443.34$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.07 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.39per pick | 46cpaid | +95%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed New York Yankees | 57c | 440.17$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.34 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa945…110fbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 438.61$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed New York Yankees | 57c | 426.35$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.2 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.18 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed New York Yankees | 58c | 419.16$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.05 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Houston Astros | 4c | 412$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Houston Astros | 51c | 408.95$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.58 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Houston Astros | 43c | 399.98$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.99 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed New York Yankees | 50c | 392.37$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.42 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…7cbebacked Houston Astros | 31c | 392.04$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed New York Yankees | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed New York Yankees | 51c | 380.48$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.43 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd3…fed4backed New York Yankees | 58c | 378.16$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.83 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Houston Astros | 43c | 370.6$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.36 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Houston Astros | 47c | 343.94$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.31 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 336.91$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.87 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Houston Astros | 58c | 333.33$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.39 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Houston Astros | 37c | 332.08$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.3 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed New York Yankees | 59c | 330.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51a6…25bcbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 325.72$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 50c | 319.54$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.45 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44d…edf1backed Houston Astros | 46c | 316.26$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.13 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed New York Yankees | 59c | 299.23$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.69 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2090…904cbacked New York Yankees | 74c | 296.75$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 292.26$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.67 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…a268backed New York Yankees | 51c | 285.47$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…5200backed Houston Astros | 47c | 273.17$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.21 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.