World Politics · resolved market
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc00920db6f5e84821a61bd31578499bbc9bd125949572b589b7a9e4b0f13bad3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,944,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,777,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,944,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 816 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Yes | 1c | 53,006$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 24c | 51,716$12,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,069.5 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 13c | 51,697$6,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,803.55 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…2e83backed No | 18c | 43,652$8,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,586.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 6c | 42,498$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.33 | 141 | 26.2%37 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 0c | 31,581$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 27c | 30,612$8,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,293.64 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f9…f701backed Yes | 24c | 29,953$7,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,139.7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 23c | 28,706$6,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,654.38 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 26,937$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…7699backed Yes | 71c | 22,000$15,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,548.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 38c | 21,535$8,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,206.9 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0c…ca5abacked Yes | 73c | 20,273$14,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,900.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a7…0792backed Yes | 75c | 16,154$12,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,110.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd5…e689backed Yes | 1c | 15,361$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…1bf9backed Yes | 0c | 14,418$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 32c | 13,553$4,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,237.03 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 20c | 13,441$2,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,764.07 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…a9e4backed No | 10c | 12,191$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,976.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +190.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0b…4700backed No | 11c | 11,343$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,150.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +851.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 29c | 11,230$3,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,947.56 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54cb…d1e7backed Yes | 79c | 10,117$7,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,981.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…b81bbacked No | 22c | 9,971$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,813.32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked No | 22c | 9,778$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,642.87 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86d5…29e9backed Yes | 64c | 9,509$6,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 19c | 9,244$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,451.52 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 53c | 8,208$4,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,370.54 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 70c | 8,037$5,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,665.25 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed Yes | 34c | 7,903$2,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,706.36 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 19c | 7,327$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,919.68 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 78c | 7,000$5,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,457.77 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c1…9e98backed Yes | 79c | 6,853$5,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,413.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Yes | 1c | 6,765$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c0…c45cbacked Yes | 74c | 6,675$4,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,923.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…cb30backed No | 15c | 6,329$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,380.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +509.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaf…4956backed Yes | 78c | 5,926$4,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,604.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa515…ed29backed No | 17c | 5,726$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,778.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +504.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 43c | 5,714$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,228.68 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 15c | 5,231$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,423.18 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8f…6f11backed Yes | 78c | 5,220$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed7…a4c0backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed No | 53c | 4,985$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.62 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 72c | 4,814$3,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,462.92 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 23c | 4,800$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,684.02 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…afe7backed Yes | 22c | 4,494$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 28c | 4,323$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.92 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…5501backed Yes | 75c | 4,317$3,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,225.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 34c | 4,294$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.25 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked No | 18c | 4,271$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,481.87 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf626…4223backed Yes | 63c | 4,231$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,662.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked Yes | 66c | 4,136$2,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.11 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 25c | 3,757$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,831.46 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe699…407dbacked No | 16c | 3,756$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,161.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.61per pick | 14cpaid | +329.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 9c | 3,743$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,408.65 | 140 | 27.9%39 W · 101 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a2…646cbacked No | 37c | 3,687$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +312.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 29c | 3,650$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.11 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…b258backed No | 11c | 3,428$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,046.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.64per pick | 11cpaid | +1,171.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…65e6backed Yes | 69c | 3,230$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 8c | 3,192$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.99 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…7a80backed No | 18c | 3,180$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +451.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…d6bfbacked No | 24c | 3,172$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde23…3c99backed Yes | 0c | 3,105$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d1…32f4backed Yes | 49c | 3,076$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x075c…0986backed Yes | 75c | 3,063$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 34c | 3,054$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.34 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1211…87c6backed Yes | 1c | 3,028$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…bbcebacked Yes | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd3…faadbacked Yes | 76c | 2,976$2,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d2…7961backed Yes | 77c | 2,960$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.01 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…2e4fbacked Yes | 76c | 2,938$2,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 47c | 2,913$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.72 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…4233backed No | 15c | 2,909$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c88…bfd6backed No | 10c | 2,906$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,608.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.49per pick | 18cpaid | +457.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaa…39afbacked Yes | 71c | 2,820$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 43c | 2,819$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.36 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0a…e0ecbacked Yes | 71c | 2,788$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 20c | 2,754$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.26 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed No | 24c | 2,746$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.57 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +8.3wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6110…5d2ebacked No | 8c | 2,725$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.64per pick | 11cpaid | +684.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…316bbacked No | 21c | 2,710$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32c…a4c2backed No | 42c | 2,667$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba2…eb93backed Yes | 78c | 2,605$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.59 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0325…16e7backed No | 12c | 2,598$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.87 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 19cpaid | +126%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 22c | 2,520$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.77 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…cac3backed Yes | 75c | 2,509$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x247f…4fe0backed Yes | 79c | 2,502$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f2…b35fbacked Yes | 80c | 2,463$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf989…9389backed No | 16c | 2,426$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.67per pick | 13cpaid | +597.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed No | 22c | 2,414$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +81%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…da78backed No | 12c | 2,394$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +350.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 8c | 2,387$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,193.43 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 19c | 2,363$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.68 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 8c | 2,308$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.23 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4734…0979backed Yes | 17c | 2,302$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.72 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 72c | 2,246$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.36 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…f376backed Yes | 69c | 2,123$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 28c | 2,111$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.76 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe436…011abacked Yes | 73c | 2,032$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…7a56backed Yes | 77c | 2,021$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 19c | 2,005$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.59 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?this page
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes won
- Will Claudia López win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Daniel Quintero win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will David Luna Sánchez win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Mauricio Cárdenas win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Miguel Uribe Turbay win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Roy Barreras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Sergio Fajardo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Vicky Dávila win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.