World Politics · resolved market
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb611b3a7173f69e412b55561ed265d849e36693c248ff620d0e981c5b3f2e325
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,318,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,480,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,318,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 830 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb25…5ab5backed Yes | 9c | 148,674$12,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135,879.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 13cpaid | +418.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa83c…a8f4backed Yes | 34c | 97,470$32,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,630.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 27c | 61,599$16,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,498.74 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 52c | 58,269$30,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,020.98 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 75c | 51,798$38,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,819.46 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 17c | 45,975$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,975.16 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +28.4wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 43,227$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.69 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 0c | 43,185$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.58 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…98c3backed Yes | 9c | 40,012$3,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,479.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +183.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 25c | 38,850$9,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,078.22 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked No | 70c | 36,163$25,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,376.06 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0afa…cf79backed Yes | 36c | 33,257$11,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,323.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 1c | 32,720$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.32 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 70c | 31,258$21,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,983.32 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 11c | 31,013$3,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,606.98 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…d6ddbacked Yes | 18c | 25,387$4,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,817.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 15cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 38c | 25,000$9,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,549.98 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 22c | 24,284$5,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,948.47 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked No | 0c | 23,250$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3994…62acbacked Yes | 28c | 22,391$6,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,098.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +255.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91a1…5580backed Yes | 20c | 21,474$4,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,158.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +397.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…df5cbacked No | 73c | 21,279$15,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,630.71 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa398…6c83backed Yes | 24c | 19,908$4,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,055.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +310.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 64c | 18,468$11,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,868.01 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…316bbacked No | 4c | 17,899$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a5…e3cabacked Yes | 25c | 17,461$4,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,148.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +166.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 66c | 17,070$11,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,872.39 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0414…be21backed Yes | 4c | 16,196$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,587.16 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 22c | 13,167$2,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,311.7 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +8.3wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbe37…617abacked Yes | 7c | 13,144$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,165.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +836.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f5…8565backed Yes | 11c | 11,793$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,450.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +208.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…da78backed Yes | 12c | 11,775$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,356.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +350.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…cb30backed Yes | 15c | 11,470$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,783.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +509.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 30c | 11,154$3,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,803.46 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 66c | 11,100$7,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,725.61 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…4bcfbacked Yes | 28c | 10,553$2,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,639.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +262.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639d…4777backed Yes | 5c | 10,550$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,042.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +409.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed Yes | 23c | 10,487$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,050.97 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc78e…4718backed Yes | 29c | 10,436$3,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,423.86 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 30cpaid | +23%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…9f80backed Yes | 18c | 9,052$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,465.04 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 45cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 24c | 9,005$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,873.1 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…80bbbacked Yes | 30c | 8,820$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,207.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 21c | 8,631$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,822.96 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed No | 1c | 7,800$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 66c | 7,640$5,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,052.35 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6110…5d2ebacked Yes | 7c | 7,464$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,959.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.64per pick | 11cpaid | +684.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe699…407dbacked Yes | 17c | 7,439$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,159.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.61per pick | 14cpaid | +329.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c5…3e0ebacked Yes | 24c | 7,167$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,471.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…6677backed Yes | 4c | 7,000$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,705 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +167.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 75c | 6,978$5,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,235.39 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 30c | 6,719$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,708.25 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…bfa2backed Yes | 5c | 6,677$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,374.05 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a2…646cbacked Yes | 16c | 6,326$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,322.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +312.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed Yes | 38c | 6,288$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,902.73 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…52cabacked Yes | 4c | 5,900$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,668 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +12.4wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +385.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…cfb7backed Yes | 4c | 5,782$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,552.69 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70f0…e8eebacked Yes | 25c | 5,749$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,339.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5673…4926backed Yes | 16c | 5,654$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,774.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +542.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…5548backed Yes | 9c | 5,636$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,149.42 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 43cpaid | +241.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32d4…b3d3backed Yes | 22c | 5,538$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,309.63 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +204.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 6c | 5,431$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,077.74 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…1169backed Yes | 25c | 5,360$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,030.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +198.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed No | 0c | 5,333$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 8c | 5,292$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,860.04 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…1f8dbacked Yes | 29c | 5,271$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +239.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…92f7backed Yes | 14c | 5,083$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,347.38 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 54c | 4,934$2,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.14 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 18c | 4,694$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,836.71 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae11…9566backed Yes | 12c | 4,646$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,108.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +293%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…5501backed No | 66c | 4,618$3,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,065.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed Yes | 10c | 4,595$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,145.31 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +8.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes | 21c | 4,518$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,561.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +81%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…d4ecbacked Yes | 3c | 4,427$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,294.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,233.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77aa…8d9cbacked Yes | 16c | 4,307$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,622.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf989…9389backed Yes | 10c | 4,302$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,861.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.67per pick | 13cpaid | +597.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…e6bdbacked Yes | 9c | 4,300$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,896 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +11.9wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…4d73backed Yes | 25c | 4,087$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x296b…2cf2backed Yes | 28c | 4,000$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.75 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 63c | 3,946$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.9 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3c…a397backed Yes | 27c | 3,943$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,897.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +277%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 25c | 3,809$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.05 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 63c | 3,795$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.12 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c62…06fcbacked Yes | 22c | 3,728$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,902.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 36cpaid | +150%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac26…06ffbacked Yes | 14c | 3,721$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,215.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +201.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b93…8564backed Yes | 18c | 3,679$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,007.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec55…a300backed Yes | 31c | 3,633$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,493.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 6c | 3,589$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,383.76 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c88…bfd6backed Yes | 7c | 3,565$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,323.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.49per pick | 18cpaid | +457.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…1d3ebacked Yes | 11c | 3,563$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,181.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +607.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…213bbacked No | 1c | 3,529$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…b4f8backed Yes | 11c | 3,474$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,077.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +402%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 3,455$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,231.14 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…12c0backed Yes | 6c | 3,446$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,256.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…1362backed Yes | 9c | 3,416$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +237.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd739…25b1backed Yes | 6c | 3,412$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,207.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 15cpaid | +574.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3374…ebdfbacked Yes | 4c | 3,324$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,176.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +1,029.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a3…9b79backed No | 75c | 3,319$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 3,257$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024.12 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 7c | 3,227$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,011.21 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cc…99a3backed Yes | 9c | 3,157$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +618.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?this page
- Will Claudia López win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Daniel Quintero win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will David Luna Sánchez win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Mauricio Cárdenas win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Miguel Uribe Turbay win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Roy Barreras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Sergio Fajardo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Vicky Dávila win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.