World Politics · resolved market
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04e73caf81ef64ce0c612699049d295e18dfe9bdd60d898fd3d8a64cac723661
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,138,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $666,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,138,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcaf5…feb5backed Yes | 1c | 163,583$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 98,308$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.98 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…31abbacked Yes | 1c | 47,576$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.83 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…9104backed Yes | 0c | 35,197$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c88…bfd6backed Yes | 1c | 31,497$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.49per pick | 18cpaid | +457.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90f5…2c01backed Yes | 1c | 31,092$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 30,854$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.93 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes | 0c | 29,375$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa543…d47ebacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eaa…9dd9backed Yes | 4c | 17,665$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.17 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33f…ff7fbacked Yes | 1c | 17,623$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…5124backed Yes | 1c | 15,804$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0414…be21backed Yes | 2c | 15,668$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.82 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 13,976$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 41 | 0%0 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 13c | 13,818$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.49 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc25d…17b8backed Yes | 1c | 11,397$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3879…d8c3backed Yes | 0c | 11,181$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…c79fbacked Yes | 1c | 9,171$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +78%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 0c | 8,948$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 141 | 26.2%37 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 1c | 8,350$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.36 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e206backed Yes | 1c | 8,107$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes | 1c | 7,044$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 6,135$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.2 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Yes | 1c | 5,477$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 5,447$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b6…29bbbacked Yes | 3c | 5,265$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fa…71c2backed Yes | 3c | 4,836$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca83…8b16backed Yes | 0c | 4,834$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +121.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 1c | 4,477$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…a6fbbacked Yes | 0c | 4,223$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…8ee4backed Yes | 2c | 3,957$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +461.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 3,702$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.32 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d9…5c4ebacked Yes | 9c | 3,291$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…c20ebacked Yes | 9c | 3,191$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2dc…f717backed Yes | 0c | 2,901$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 0c | 2,862$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f7…7242backed Yes | 9c | 2,744$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 2,663$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf781…fc38backed Yes | 9c | 2,559$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 1c | 2,392$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 35 | 0%0 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c02…7523backed Yes | 9c | 2,375$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…67bcbacked Yes | 9c | 2,310$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46bb…abbebacked Yes | 9c | 2,287$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ef…41a7backed Yes | 8c | 2,166$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebbe…839bbacked Yes | 9c | 2,108$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…982dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,104$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9978…ad31backed Yes | 8c | 2,093$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 5c | 2,080$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.32 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc02b…abd4backed Yes | 9c | 2,075$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 2,053$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…7410backed Yes | 9c | 2,040$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbab…c00bbacked Yes | 9c | 2,038$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…f451backed Yes | 9c | 2,008$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x918a…6a0cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,882$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08bb…3ba9backed Yes | 9c | 1,852$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…8be6backed Yes | 1c | 1,739$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…962abacked Yes | 3c | 1,702$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 2c | 1,687$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…890dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,667$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 5c | 1,643$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.32 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78c3…171ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b2cdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…a272backed Yes | 8c | 1,486$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa690…ff2fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,465$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64c…d5febacked Yes | 9c | 1,434$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 2c | 1,415$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d33…7043backed Yes | 9c | 1,410$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +358.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9139…2bacbacked Yes | 8c | 1,386$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…1f75backed Yes | 9c | 1,375$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ac…055ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,310$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…c0d7backed Yes | 8c | 1,304$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85c…ed6bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,277$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -92%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…fc5abacked Yes | 9c | 1,212$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6547…f8b2backed Yes | 9c | 1,189$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 1,185$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 5c | 1,166$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…3152backed Yes | 8c | 1,159$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3608…7f93backed Yes | 9c | 1,145$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…6379backed Yes | 9c | 1,143$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…a830backed Yes | 2c | 1,142$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…d93abacked Yes | 10c | 1,131$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 1,126$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…43fdbacked Yes | 9c | 1,119$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…95a9backed Yes | 2c | 1,094$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…ec0bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,077$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bf…b27fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,035$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 12c | 1,009$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.43 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…59d2backed Yes | 9c | 1,005$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298b…44a7backed Yes | 9c | 991$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b54…5fcfbacked Yes | 9c | 931$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6110…5d2ebacked Yes | 3c | 929.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.64per pick | 11cpaid | +684.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…7936backed Yes | 9c | 921$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…5805backed Yes | 2c | 918.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…0440backed Yes | 9c | 912$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5365…b30abacked Yes | 9c | 905$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…2dc3backed Yes | 1c | 900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb10…f669backed Yes | 8c | 848$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3f…313bbacked Yes | 10c | 806.94$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe859…bb2abacked Yes | 10c | 779$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?this page
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes won
- Will Claudia López win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Daniel Quintero win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will David Luna Sánchez win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Mauricio Cárdenas win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Miguel Uribe Turbay win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Roy Barreras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Sergio Fajardo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Vicky Dávila win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.