TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x70b2…5805

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
267
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT15635.9%56 W · 100 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 156 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.88
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+517.3%+$578.22
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Harry Kane record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Will Marcus Thuram score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.2
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.65
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.15
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.28
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.71
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.76
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.42
Will Charles De Ketelaere score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.2
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Endrick score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Antoine Semenyo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 156 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT4647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+515.2%+$604.32
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$17.2
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$17
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$147.4
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$30.6
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+83%+$18.14
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
OG Anunoby Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$31.43
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$88.89
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.5
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT3246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+208.6%+$47.32
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5backed Over 4.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$94.5
Cobolli vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.4
Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Zverevbacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.4
Cobolli vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.86
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.69
Jakub Mensik vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.22
Mensik vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$204.45
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.85
Auger-Aliassime vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$34.4
Auger-Aliassime vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+1.5)backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+219.1%+$25.28
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$175.75
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.8
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.13
Jakub Mensik vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 4.5backed Over 4.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Mensik vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Jakub Mensik vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Jodar vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Tiafoe vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.3
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+37%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+158.5%+$47.56
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$64.84
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$5.98
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 4 weeks or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$35.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.