TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Jakub Mensik vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Over 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,158
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,545

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,158 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x336b…1233backed Over 3.520c3,822$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,057.8157939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b73…8688backed Under 3.579c3,792$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f16…701dbacked Over 3.562c2,595$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.867938%30 W · 49 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over 3.525c2,173$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.6115048%72 W · 78 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Over 3.560c2,029$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.744763.8%30 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 3.537c1,659$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.847,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under 3.540c1,633$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.376,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Over 3.563c1,597$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.341145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under 3.537c1,287$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.324,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Under 3.538c1,259$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.677,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Under 3.575c1,206$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.259631.3%30 W · 66 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Over 3.549c1,047$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.1754634.4%188 W · 358 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under 3.539c999.99$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.151,51037.7%569 W · 941 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Over 3.555c815.74$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.141,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Over 3.562c808.53$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.533060%18 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b2…5805backed Under 3.553c787.29$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.223246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked Over 3.564c724.87$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.954156.1%23 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Under 3.538c684.26$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.0299249.4%490 W · 502 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Over 3.561c657.43$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.431,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Over 3.513c538.44$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.9626355.1%145 W · 118 L+36.9wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+25.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under 3.538c433.14$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5358745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Under 3.544c429.19$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.641,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over 3.547c427.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.5432554.2%176 W · 149 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Under 3.580c422.13$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.724259.9%145 W · 97 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Under 3.537c410$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.76541.5%27 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under 3.537c405.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2281047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Under 3.556c400.07$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.3413852.2%72 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under 3.538c383.59$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.261,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a92…52f8backed Over 3.563c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.461414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-76.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcec6…7566backed Over 3.561c316.93$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.942657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Under 3.540c310$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241,03150.3%519 W · 512 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3a2…bcd1backed Over 3.534c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.122832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Under 3.549c290.33$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9834650.6%175 W · 171 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over 3.563c277.78$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.781,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Over 3.563c217.56$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3527871.6%199 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under 3.548c216.45$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.794,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25e6…0896backed Over 3.561c209.87$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.872454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under 3.539c204.96$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3637230.4%113 W · 259 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under 3.540c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,14247.3%540 W · 602 L+65.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under 3.536c199.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under 3.537c199.98$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.992035%7 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Over 3.561c199.81$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.496852.9%36 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under 3.563c195.79$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.359,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Under 3.537c186$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8273748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Under 3.540c180.76$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6143250.5%218 W · 214 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Under 3.541c176.37$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.264440.9%18 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf795…ab90backed Over 3.561c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.939740.2%39 W · 58 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Under 3.540c151.13$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6065434.9%228 W · 426 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4b6…41b4backed Over 3.561c135.28$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.765451.9%28 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf45…ea2cbacked Under 3.537c116.95$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.271241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd277…94d6backed Over 3.529c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.45911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-61.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed Under 3.539c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under 3.541c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4144442.3%188 W · 256 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under 3.540c99.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4036161.8%223 W · 138 L+41.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd614…0fc0backed Over 3.562c97.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.53040%12 W · 18 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1536…7f40backed Under 3.537c91$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.671936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over 3.561c84$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.766439.1%25 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under 3.537c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.638741.1%159 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under 3.544c79.55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…5d44backed Under 3.564c78.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505514.5%8 W · 47 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-55.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb1d…7c4fbacked Over 3.564c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.13425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-60.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Under 3.535c77$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9510658.5%62 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Under 3.536c76$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3626457.6%152 W · 112 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Over 3.514c71.43$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4357845.7%264 W · 314 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked Under 3.544c70.45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3144051.6%227 W · 213 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd210…92dfbacked Under 3.540c65$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-48.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under 3.537c64.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7483447.5%396 W · 438 L-2.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07d9…c160backed Over 3.562c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.525453.7%29 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked Over 3.562c58.06$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.063060%18 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdecb…e058backed Over 3.563c55.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.565759.6%34 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under 3.537c54.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.251,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e8…69e7backed Under 3.572c50.13$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-72.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Under 3.538c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191,16849.1%573 W · 595 L-2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb524…0808backed Over 3.563c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.515657.1%89 W · 67 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa052…ee29backed Over 3.561c49.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.116762.7%42 W · 25 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3186…2a53backed Under 3.547c48.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.023265.6%21 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Over 3.545c48.88$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8826555.8%148 W · 117 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00b4…87bfbacked Over 3.563c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.624763.8%30 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9da3…6f0cbacked Over 3.564c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.882462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+36.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x52ab…ecebbacked Over 3.565c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.157354.8%40 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Under 3.537c43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9158453.1%310 W · 274 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1dd1…7040backed Under 3.547c42.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023256.9%132 W · 100 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4af8…0f85backed Over 3.564c42.75$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.393354.5%18 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed Under 3.538c40.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.471346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae1…f481backed Under 3.553c40.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.261643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x44be…76b1backed Over 3.560c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167153.5%38 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9a4…3926backed Over 3.561c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.659366.8%396 W · 197 L-0.6wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Under 3.538c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1581457%464 W · 350 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under 3.537c38.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.42,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0319…db1abacked Under 3.569c34.79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.851323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.32per pick55cpaid-69.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Under 3.538c33.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.721,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3bd…6dddbacked Over 3.553c32.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.54047.5%19 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa983…7ab4backed Over 3.561c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7914545.5%66 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Under 3.538c32.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4920048%96 W · 104 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Over 3.562c32.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.338060%48 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89b7…fd93backed Under 3.541c32.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.156346%29 W · 34 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bf8…8986backed Over 3.563c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.75837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6201…622cbacked Over 3.563c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.753633.3%12 W · 24 L-8.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-36.9%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xe761…8a64backed Over 3.563c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1187…20c4backed Over 3.565c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.