TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Mensik (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mensikof Zverev, Mensik
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,731
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,167

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,731 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x198f…c419backed Zverev70c30,082$21,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,175.2834047.4%161 W · 179 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Mensik44c22,563$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,563.0273239.5%289 W · 443 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Mensik26c12,156$3,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,935.9257939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Mensik70c5,425$3,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,630.061,25756.6%711 W · 546 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Zverev78c4,644$3,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,602.4545957.5%264 W · 195 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Zverev34c3,500$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.984944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Mensik31c3,022$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,088.1515048%72 W · 78 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Zverev30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90068935%241 W · 448 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c2f…499cbacked Zverev74c1,928$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.0510345.6%47 W · 56 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Mensik65c1,500$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.9930827.6%85 W · 223 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Mensik69c1,444$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.831145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Zverev63c1,413$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.9359553.8%320 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7288…9ec5backed Zverev18c1,250$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2312045%9 W · 11 L+5.7wins+0.29per pick16cpaid+117.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Mensik21c1,223$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.69631.3%30 W · 66 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Zverev31c1,200$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3666,99839.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L-16.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Mensik41c1,102$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.442,39950.6%1,215 W · 1,184 L+76.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf061…a9aabacked Mensik28c1,057$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.31643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Mensik39c1,023$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.811,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Mensik30c1,001$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.7587237.2%324 W · 548 L-3.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Mensik33c1,000$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.299,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Zverev31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101,50537.7%568 W · 937 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Mensik53c927.15$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.769543.2%41 W · 54 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Mensik70c874.58$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.5879855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Zverev67c820.9$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55012552.8%66 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed Zverev70c800$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5608450%42 W · 42 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Zverev35c787.45$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2751,11043%477 W · 633 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa5b7…1454backed Zverev33c757.58$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502020%4 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe80f…b81bbacked Mensik66c737.97$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.9117859%105 W · 73 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47c7…3776backed Zverev9c729.25$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Mensik66c703.64$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.241,44448.8%705 W · 739 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Mensik67c667.47$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.2710159.4%60 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50b9…4467backed Zverev74c637.4$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47038033.9%129 W · 251 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Zverev18c625$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.51089.3%10 W · 98 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Zverev18c625$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.52339.1%9 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.22per pick17cpaid+100.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6535…063fbacked Zverev18c625$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.51942.1%8 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.26per pick16cpaid+110.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x062a…30f7backed Zverev15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90742.9%3 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick11cpaid+255.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Zverev63c597.4$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.959941.4%41 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Mensik27c593$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.8934655.2%191 W · 155 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Mensik50c561.07$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.5425955.2%143 W · 116 L+36.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+25.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Zverev30c522.05$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.6238446.4%178 W · 206 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76c0…4731backed Zverev19c517.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Zverev62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3104,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf19b…1613backed Zverev80c500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40017650.6%89 W · 87 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Zverev28c470.59$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.6548235.9%173 W · 309 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Zverev29c465.85$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.14,07039.7%1,617 W · 2,453 L+92.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee5a…9f70backed Zverev29c429.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.735641.3%147 W · 209 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Zverev60c416.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25035955.7%200 W · 159 L+20.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Zverev31c400$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1222,21242.9%948 W · 1,264 L+34.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Mensik28c390$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.821737.3%81 W · 136 L-0.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Zverev31c378.1$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2119346.6%90 W · 103 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa90b…5ca7backed Mensik66c374.29$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.262268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe44c…73bfbacked Zverev74c367.51$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.96728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick60cpaid-63.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Mensik65c349.9$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4618047.2%85 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Mensik29c347.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.221,56340%625 W · 938 L-32.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa24…a75cbacked Mensik66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0316450.6%83 W · 81 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…5e3dbacked Zverev33c302.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x94ba…001dbacked Zverev15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454932.7%16 W · 33 L+10.8wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+131.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Zverev45c300$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1362433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+66%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x276b…c0c8backed Zverev15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453542.9%15 W · 20 L+10.7wins+0.31per pick12cpaid+212%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Mensik35c291.46$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.452,75453.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L+71.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Zverev35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011850.8%60 W · 58 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1c9…748cbacked Mensik39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.412850%14 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Zverev30c254.93$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9347854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Zverev30c232.92$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8841941.1%172 W · 247 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbecc…5672backed Mensik30c231.63$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.144845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Mensik66c217.88$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0888749.8%442 W · 445 L-22.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fa…c63bbacked Mensik70c214.64$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.642763%17 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb361…808ebacked Mensik67c207.98$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.631346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Zverev55c189.63$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6337230.4%113 W · 259 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23d7…4b33backed Mensik27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.19757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c4…8e87backed Mensik53c183.55$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.481942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Zverev60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036557.5%210 W · 155 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa706…4b9ebacked Zverev73c165$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.451540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Zverev33c153.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07f9…d1b4backed Zverev35c152.11$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.241662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Mensik66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5236349.6%180 W · 183 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e80…416dbacked Zverev66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-40.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Zverev30c150$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.582847.3%392 W · 436 L-4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7cb6…96d1backed Mensik67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2546565.6%305 W · 160 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Zverev71c138.82$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5611158.6%65 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11c9…1184backed Zverev33c131.3$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.338118.5%15 W · 66 L-11.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-39%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x34ae…cdb5backed Mensik66c125$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.52669.2%18 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Mensik48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6543250.5%218 W · 214 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Zverev27c120.93$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1417617%30 W · 146 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed Zverev75c120$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906358.7%37 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdae6…7d39backed Mensik30c116.67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.673542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ad…85f7backed Mensik43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.281346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Zverev48c112.33$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.921618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Mensik69c108.7$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.71,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Mensik42c105.89$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.334650.6%175 W · 171 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Mensik73c105$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.058950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…e86dbacked Mensik66c102.48$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8452661.2%322 W · 204 L+1.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Mensik68c100.94$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7458745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Zverev31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3138947.3%184 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba3…9a44backed Zverev15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151520%3 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick13cpaid-23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Zverev60c91.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551,77348.6%861 W · 912 L+28.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Mensik32c91.06$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9237336.5%136 W · 237 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Zverev30c89.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1215632.1%50 W · 106 L+16.0wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+38.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6277…eda7backed Mensik69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4641846.2%193 W · 225 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Zverev35c65.14$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.82,40451.7%1,244 W · 1,160 L+12.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.