Tennis · resolved market
Mensik vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30021e4df677aab39195be0b15bb351fcad10381840a752b548e7bdd9eb9863d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 39c | 2,161$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.32 | 692 | 44.4%307 W · 385 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Over | 11c | 1,345$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.98 | 497 | 52.3%260 W · 237 L | +28.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 62c | 1,054$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.31 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Over | 61c | 816.24$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.24 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Over | 55c | 734.56$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.26 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…acbbbacked Over | 61c | 488$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.32 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 21c | 400$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 2,433 | 50.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L | +81.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Over | 61c | 304.92$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.92 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,542 | 49.2%759 W · 783 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 47c | 251.06$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Under | 40c | 240$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 47c | 186$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…ecdbbacked Over | 60c | 165.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 489 | 35.8%175 W · 314 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2af…e3bcbacked Over | 60c | 165$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Under | 36c | 116.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 365 | 35.1%128 W · 237 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 426 | 43.9%187 W · 239 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Over | 56c | 92.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 652 | 50.3%328 W · 324 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…780ebacked Over | 60c | 83.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8964…427abacked Under | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…fcf5backed Over | 64c | 82.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 39c | 64.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…7b1bbacked Under | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 31c | 56.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 69c | 56.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…9afdbacked Under | 42c | 56.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Under | 47c | 51.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 41c | 49.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…1ac3backed Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 40c | 38.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…a781backed Over | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…53d0backed Under | 44c | 28.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…3a77backed Under | 42c | 24.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mensik vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5this page
- Jakub Mensik vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Jakub Mensik vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Mensik vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Mensik vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Mensik vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Roland Garros ATP: Completed Match: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander ZverevYes won
- Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
- Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs ZverevZverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)Zverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Mensik (+2.5)Mensik won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.