TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs Zverev

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zverevof Mensik, Zverev
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,401
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,503

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,401 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9bd2…f868backed Zverev66c3,031$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.636165.6%40 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Mensik43c2,714$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.164,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Mensik35c2,472$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.142,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Zverev65c2,021$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.3545957.5%264 W · 195 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbd2…026dbacked Zverev69c1,875$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.493100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b73…8688backed Zverev56c1,788$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.953351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Mensik34c1,544$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.967,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Mensik42c1,158$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.451233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Mensik37c1,082$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014252.8%75 W · 67 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Zverev51c999.84$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.919,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Zverev61c978.92$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.9220748.3%100 W · 107 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Mensik40c974.59$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.65,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Zverev63c888.8$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.8638446.4%178 W · 206 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Zverev62c781.24$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.879843.9%43 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Mensik40c778$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.3136757.8%212 W · 155 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Zverev67c745.59$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.5924259.9%145 W · 97 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Mensik35c735.98$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.597,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Zverev70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2960053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mensik31c693.55$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2157,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Mensik38c664.45$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25228443%122 W · 162 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Zverev70c657.18$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.188060%48 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Mensik39c588.74$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.8433253.6%178 W · 154 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Mensik36c582.42$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.2137230.4%113 W · 259 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Mensik36c579$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.3935730.5%109 W · 248 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0c2…db78backed Mensik43c572.12$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.32771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x154e…fbdebacked Mensik50c558$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2793016.7%5 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Mensik37c535.59$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Zverev65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1757167.6%48 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Mensik35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17530827.6%85 W · 223 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Zverev59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2054,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ad…a5cabacked Mensik40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011919.3%23 W · 96 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc60b…d9f7backed Mensik33c499.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16535439.8%141 W · 213 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mensik31c498.48$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.536,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Mensik14c494.92$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.214933.6%50 W · 99 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x790e…b82dbacked Zverev64c463.91$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.011546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50b9…4467backed Zverev64c461$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.5738033.9%129 W · 251 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Mensik40c394$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.442,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Mensik41c353.95$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9739046.4%181 W · 209 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Mensik37c324.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Mensik35c299.92$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9740141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Mensik54c287.53$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9665346.4%303 W · 350 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc7…f7debacked Zverev65c284.54$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.592638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Mensik38c265.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048144.5%214 W · 267 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93a9…0b88backed Mensik40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-71.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Mensik43c244.19$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10558931.1%183 W · 406 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Mensik33c242.55$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.044,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Mensik55c235.58$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.356,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Mensik42c222$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.241,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c4…8e87backed Mensik46c214$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.441942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed Zverev63c208.02$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.026358.7%37 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Mensik40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Mensik51c195$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10051236.5%187 W · 325 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Mensik30c193.44$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8643250.5%218 W · 214 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Mensik35c180.72$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.258718.4%16 W · 71 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-52%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6797…e0e5backed Zverev66c176.71$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3626263%165 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Mensik33c162.86$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0834650.6%175 W · 171 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2666…ade6backed Zverev55c161$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.661838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Mensik35c158$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.315745.9%72 W · 85 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2633…44fcbacked Zverev74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb1d…7c4fbacked Mensik37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-60.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Mensik54c128.56$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.393,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe04…a198backed Mensik41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ad…85f7backed Mensik42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Zverev61c110$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.912942.6%55 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3a2…bcd1backed Zverev64c107.82$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.32832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ce9…6cfdbacked Zverev68c99.39$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3910753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Zverev34c99.02$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.522,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcab9…eb2dbacked Zverev66c90.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.241872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e38…b4cbbacked Mensik31c81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.113964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Mensik37c75.68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe13c…1159backed Zverev67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.639558.9%56 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cca…8323backed Mensik49c73.47$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x687d…e28bbacked Zverev64c72.87$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.239553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e68…b271backed Zverev66c69.21$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.29447.9%45 W · 49 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Mensik37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524945.4%113 W · 136 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe698…4d65backed Mensik39c66.06$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-46.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Mensik36c55.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3184640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Mensik35c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.251,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0710…9335backed Mensik44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224235.7%15 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf7d…a286backed Mensik42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Mensik37c47.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.31,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Zverev43c45.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7437436.4%136 W · 238 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Mensik31c43.59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.512,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb099…3560backed Mensik36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155411.1%6 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked Mensik41c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5934729.4%102 W · 245 L-35.6wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-35.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Zverev45c39.43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.792,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Zverev65c37.09$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9836464.3%234 W · 130 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Mensik43c36.79$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.821346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Zverev63c33.87$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4483047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb51b…b4d9backed Zverev60c33.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.242638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39bb…54b3backed Zverev63c31.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d0…1a7ebacked Mensik36c31.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.231118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4505…ec35backed Mensik34c29.42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85b2…50cabacked Zverev67c27.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.082437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Zverev53c26.87$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6274346.3%344 W · 399 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac6…9460backed Zverev56c26.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.381573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+66%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xbe56…0fa6backed Zverev75c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Zverev65c24.29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.57,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae1…f481backed Zverev68c21.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.971643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa052…ee29backed Zverev65c20.57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.26762.7%42 W · 25 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.