TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe6ad…85f7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
158
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT6835.3%24 W · 44 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$989Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$988.64
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.34
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,863Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$2,469.84
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$696Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,088.88
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.72
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.83
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$27.3
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.65
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT4833.3%16 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.37
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,247.76
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.8
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$27.59
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+194%+$872.81
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,777.78
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+164.1%+$1,148.96
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,981Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,980.75
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$501.9
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$102.46
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$462.86
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$599.54
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.63
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.11
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.83
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.62
Spread: Senegal (-2.5)backed Iraq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.96
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$593.75
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.92
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.5
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.2
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.8
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.01
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$177.36
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$290.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Coco Gauffbacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.63
Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Wimbledon ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Itobacked Aoi Ito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Nottingham Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Maria Sakkaribacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Danielbacked Taro Daniel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$78.94
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$257.14
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$179.02
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$830Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$658.42
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Mensik (+2.5)backed Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs Zverevbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Tsitsipas (+1.5)backed Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+76.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-51.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.55
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,046Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$1,864.41
Texas Longhorns vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$34.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+193.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,466Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+193.3%+$2,834.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,964Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,964.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.