MLB · resolved market
First Round Pool C: Australia vs. South Korea
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d3f5b4cf67713811336dc3b7e8533f10c8f68b6e4dd663ba61f016509eebe07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Koreaof Australia, South Korea
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $392,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $392,329 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 329 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccba…0ce8backed Australia | 0c | 32,295$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed Australia | 22c | 26,411$5,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,881.39 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed South Korea | 72c | 26,000$18,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,279.88 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb303…f569backed Australia | 1c | 23,077$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…6f56backed Australia | 19c | 20,894$4,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,029.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Australia | 20c | 20,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.99 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Australia | 28c | 16,276$4,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,549.07 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed South Korea | 70c | 9,497$6,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,861.37 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…627dbacked Australia | 36c | 9,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…d620backed South Korea | 80c | 8,938$7,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 76cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73f9…c640backed Australia | 1c | 8,500$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Australia | 1c | 6,488$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…54cbbacked South Korea | 72c | 6,097$4,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed South Korea | 72c | 6,077$4,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.55 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…8503backed South Korea | 72c | 5,635$4,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.44 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…f76abacked Australia | 2c | 5,634$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +135.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…45c5backed Australia | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed South Korea | 74c | 4,988$3,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.7 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b25…ef0fbacked Australia | 5c | 4,925$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.26 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Australia | 1c | 4,768$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed South Korea | 74c | 4,153$3,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.33 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Australia | 1c | 4,123$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Australia | 19c | 4,113$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.5 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8017…5288backed Australia | 1c | 3,866$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Australia | 19c | 3,672$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.85 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe73d…cbf8backed Australia | 1c | 3,479$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked South Korea | 68c | 3,423$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.17 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Australia | 30c | 3,340$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.07 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed South Korea | 67c | 3,099$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Australia | 7c | 2,903$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.71 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fc…96f2backed Australia | 30c | 2,531$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.39 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked South Korea | 72c | 2,347$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.85 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked South Korea | 71c | 2,251$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.71 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked South Korea | 71c | 2,238$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.15 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Australia | 7c | 2,233$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed South Korea | 71c | 2,104$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.55 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…c865backed Australia | 30c | 1,930$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…1cadbacked South Korea | 77c | 1,907$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.57 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed South Korea | 73c | 1,761$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.69 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed South Korea | 72c | 1,741$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.39 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Australia | 23c | 1,608$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.63 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked South Korea | 77c | 1,521$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.96 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…29ddbacked South Korea | 71c | 1,398$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…cddebacked South Korea | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.92 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Australia | 1c | 1,260$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18d…9863backed Australia | 3c | 1,259$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb174…8fafbacked South Korea | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9162…162cbacked Australia | 21c | 1,195$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…61fcbacked Australia | 25c | 1,163$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.72 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9729…e247backed Australia | 5c | 1,124$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…e5a7backed Australia | 12c | 1,105$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Australia | 26c | 1,038$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.88 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed South Korea | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…1ee8backed Australia | 29c | 999.96$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…5b0dbacked Australia | 24c | 991.79$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.76 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Australia | 26c | 991.15$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.83 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef59…2757backed Australia | 8c | 983.02$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.54 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Australia | 13c | 980.33$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.05 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Australia | 2c | 963.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…37e2backed Australia | 12c | 939.6$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Australia | 28c | 934.49$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Australia | 27c | 887.21$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.75 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Australia | 11c | 879.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0d…fdcfbacked Australia | 4c | 875$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…6eafbacked South Korea | 72c | 872.99$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.63 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Australia | 14c | 829.89$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.73 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad0…ee96backed Australia | 28c | 776.28$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b2…771cbacked Australia | 3c | 763.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Australia | 10c | 734.16$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Australia | 26c | 730.77$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x621c…7721backed South Korea | 70c | 700$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…1b42backed Australia | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Australia | 26c | 697.82$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Australia | 23c | 686.9$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.08 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0425…5d14backed Australia | 28c | 675$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked South Korea | 71c | 656.82$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed South Korea | 79c | 616.43$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.51 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbe…8918backed Australia | 17c | 598.55$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.26 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20eb…5822backed Australia | 21c | 561.32$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c19…94f5backed Australia | 33c | 501.69$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.48 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Australia | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0395…c9edbacked South Korea | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked South Korea | 72c | 497.87$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.24 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Australia | 27c | 441.91$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.44 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea5…57dbbacked Australia | 26c | 430.32$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +69%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3e…ca47backed South Korea | 80c | 428.69$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked Australia | 24c | 426.74$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.02 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed South Korea | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…29febacked South Korea | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +174.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2218…9fc8backed Australia | 7c | 402.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Australia | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfc…5943backed Australia | 30c | 393.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed South Korea | 67c | 392$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.14 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0300…5cdfbacked Australia | 30c | 389.67$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Australia | 3c | 388.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked South Korea | 72c | 385.47$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.16 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Australia | 30c | 374$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.82 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…8a41backed South Korea | 79c | 358.7$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b8…5072backed South Korea | 73c | 357.53$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc791…81b7backed Australia | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.