TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x20eb…5822

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT4637%17 W · 29 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+53.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.76
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.61
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$220.53
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.88
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$669.23
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+525%+$408.71
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.07
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$381.51
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$99.46
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.7
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.7
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$157.78
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$227
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.43
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$697Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+195.1%+$1,359.72
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,083Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,082.92
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$301.1
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.82
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$19.44
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.66
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.7
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+85.2%+$72.66
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+66.7%+$33.17
Grizzlies vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+78.6%+$9.43
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+31.6%+$15.79
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.2
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+76.3%+$30.3
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Thunder vs. Hawksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+34.7%+$17.36
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+96.8%+$166.46
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
First Round Pool C: Australia vs. South Koreabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.26
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+43.3%+$108.46
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.27
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT+334.8%+$334.78
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Browns vs. Patriotsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
49ers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$198
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+66.7%+$146
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+40.8%+$65.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$118.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Estoril Praia win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.