NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x985fa9a8a3326f72c3d8d604878255be4253e09f83371dd672cf2c3373f8c26a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Flyers, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $397,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $391,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $397,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Canadiens | 59c | 83,667$49,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,363.61 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Flyers | 41c | 59,833$24,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,301.48 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Flyers | 41c | 56,953$23,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,588.33 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Canadiens | 59c | 49,181$29,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,014.44 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Flyers | 41c | 49,000$20,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,909.98 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Flyers | 29c | 30,020$8,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,254.12 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Flyers | 40c | 24,191$9,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,514.46 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…2a37backed Flyers | 50c | 15,041$7,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,520.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed4c…a986backed Canadiens | 50c | 15,041$7,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,520.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Canadiens | 59c | 12,111$7,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,145.49 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Canadiens | 59c | 11,445$6,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,753.23 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Canadiens | 59c | 8,995$5,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,306.97 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Canadiens | 59c | 8,470$5,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,016 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Flyers | 41c | 7,500$3,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,425 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7606…2836backed Canadiens | 60c | 5,532$3,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,319.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Canadiens | 59c | 5,078$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff3c…09ebbacked Canadiens | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Canadiens | 48c | 4,895$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.42 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb148…9355backed Canadiens | 60c | 4,109$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,465.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Canadiens | 35c | 3,991$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.02 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Flyers | 41c | 3,500$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.96 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Canadiens | 50c | 3,387$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.95 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Flyers | 56c | 3,030$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.78 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Canadiens | 53c | 3,012$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.64 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Canadiens | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Flyers | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Flyers | 64c | 2,913$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.67 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Flyers | 51c | 2,793$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.96 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Canadiens | 60c | 2,666$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.73 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Canadiens | 59c | 2,622$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.01 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Flyers | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Canadiens | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Canadiens | 60c | 2,411$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.6 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Canadiens | 50c | 2,112$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.04 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Canadiens | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Canadiens | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Canadiens | 15c | 1,944$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Canadiens | 59c | 1,933$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.27 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Canadiens | 57c | 1,929$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.51 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Canadiens | 1c | 1,695$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 58c | 1,680$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.79 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…5e45backed Canadiens | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Flyers | 40c | 1,548$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.78 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…7c0abacked Canadiens | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Canadiens | 27c | 1,498$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.58 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Canadiens | 58c | 1,467$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.04 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf131…d78fbacked Flyers | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44ef…ce17backed Canadiens | 60c | 1,463$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Flyers | 42c | 1,390$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.17 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Flyers | 43c | 1,375$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.16 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ec…faf4backed Canadiens | 60c | 1,333$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x457d…5049backed Flyers | 41c | 1,333$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Canadiens | 79c | 1,327$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.34 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Flyers | 41c | 1,286$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.56 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Flyers | 41c | 1,250$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.5 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Flyers | 47c | 1,239$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.66 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Canadiens | 31c | 1,218$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.16 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…0a75backed Flyers | 43c | 1,218$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Canadiens | 59c | 1,200$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2421…10cfbacked Flyers | 41c | 1,167$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.53 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b27…0a09backed Canadiens | 60c | 1,167$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Canadiens | 59c | 1,145$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.75 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Flyers | 41c | 1,076$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.19 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Canadiens | 58c | 1,060$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.65 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c2…0c83backed Canadiens | 38c | 1,056$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bf…f9cebacked Canadiens | 36c | 1,025$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.14 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Canadiens | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c2…26aabacked Canadiens | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…88f2backed Canadiens | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Flyers | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Canadiens | 58c | 999.95$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.97 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x966d…eaa5backed Canadiens | 55c | 984.55$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.31 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a9…a074backed Flyers | 42c | 980$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…36f2backed Canadiens | 60c | 957.52$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.51 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…19ffbacked Flyers | 41c | 957.52$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.94 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Canadiens | 77c | 954.65$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.75 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736c…2b16backed Canadiens | 22c | 899.42$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Canadiens | 60c | 896$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.16 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1335…d00fbacked Canadiens | 26c | 871.55$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.3 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Canadiens | 59c | 846$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.14 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…e4c8backed Canadiens | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a90…7743backed Canadiens | 60c | 734.27$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.56 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fd…dbc5backed Flyers | 41c | 734.27$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.22 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e48…c23bbacked Canadiens | 14c | 700$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Canadiens | 68c | 689$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.19 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Canadiens | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2e…b5e5backed Canadiens | 60c | 651.13$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.68 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked Flyers | 47c | 630$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Canadiens | 58c | 580.89$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.92 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Canadiens | 18c | 564.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Flyers | 46c | 527$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.53 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab31…9dd0backed Canadiens | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Flyers | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Canadiens | 18c | 475$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Canadiens | 57c | 465.74$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.47 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bf…c20ebacked Canadiens | 56c | 449.97$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa13e…7448backed Canadiens | 60c | 415$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c59…7e7fbacked Flyers | 41c | 414.63$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.63 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Canadiens | 19c | 404.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Flyers | 40c | 404.33$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.6 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Canadiensthis page
- Flyers vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.