NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x114b8b3f9ece80a4a9fde5defdc953a1a9c8f4b02b6662065696eddffce6ae54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Celtics, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,339,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,413,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,339,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 378 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5afb…4511backed Knicks | 62c | 614,077$378,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235,236.25 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Celtics | 38c | 261,253$99,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,276.24 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02fc…2c31backed Celtics | 41c | 119,615$49,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,042.1 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Celtics | 38c | 101,618$39,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,056.76 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Celtics | 37c | 99,242$36,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,708.95 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Knicks | 61c | 70,656$42,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,677.95 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Celtics | 39c | 54,797$21,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,138.45 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Celtics | 39c | 50,000$19,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,500 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…7ccbbacked Knicks | 61c | 50,000$30,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,499.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Celtics | 38c | 30,056$11,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,436.83 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Celtics | 37c | 30,000$11,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,100 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Knicks | 62c | 26,400$16,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,032 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Knicks | 61c | 25,000$15,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,690.88 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Celtics | 36c | 23,626$8,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,465.27 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…ce5ebacked Celtics | 23c | 20,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576d…767dbacked Celtics | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Knicks | 60c | 20,000$12,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,953.73 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ae…0e0ebacked Knicks | 61c | 18,044$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,043.54 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x591b…807cbacked Celtics | 42c | 17,990$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Celtics | 41c | 16,354$6,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,705 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Celtics | 37c | 15,644$5,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,788.44 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Knicks | 66c | 15,515$10,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,325.76 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Knicks | 62c | 11,290$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,290.32 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Knicks | 68c | 9,262$6,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,982.21 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Knicks | 62c | 9,136$5,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,471.62 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics | 38c | 8,500$3,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,230 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…1654backed Celtics | 12c | 8,021$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.56 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed Celtics | 27c | 7,525$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.48 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Celtics | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Knicks | 59c | 7,000$4,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.99 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Celtics | 9c | 6,304$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.69 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…3c20backed Celtics | 19c | 6,293$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Knicks | 65c | 6,189$4,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.82 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9800…aaa3backed Celtics | 8c | 5,809$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Celtics | 33c | 5,341$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.48 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Celtics | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…2229backed Celtics | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Celtics | 37c | 4,790$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.12 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Knicks | 62c | 4,685$2,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.07 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 38c | 4,248$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.26 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Knicks | 62c | 4,007$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.64 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Knicks | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Celtics | 35c | 3,958$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.26 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Celtics | 38c | 3,600$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Celtics | 39c | 3,548$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.15 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed Celtics | 8c | 3,369$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.49 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Celtics | 40c | 3,250$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.97 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…5feabacked Celtics | 6c | 3,181$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Celtics | 40c | 3,137$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.6 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…86fdbacked Knicks | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebfe…29e2backed Celtics | 11c | 2,934$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Celtics | 40c | 2,858$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.32 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Celtics | 41c | 2,782$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.67 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Knicks | 62c | 2,720$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.67 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Knicks | 59c | 2,700$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Knicks | 60c | 2,667$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.67 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0a…2f94backed Celtics | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Celtics | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.99 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Knicks | 69c | 2,312$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.87 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Knicks | 66c | 2,195$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.16 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Knicks | 78c | 2,194$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.91 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Celtics | 37c | 2,083$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.88 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Knicks | 62c | 2,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.01 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Celtics | 38c | 1,999$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.7 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Celtics | 40c | 1,991$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.19 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Celtics | 41c | 1,799$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.85 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc35a…e5d8backed Knicks | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Knicks | 60c | 1,649$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.6 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Celtics | 41c | 1,646$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.84 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be5…da76backed Knicks | 66c | 1,537$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x512b…c0c3backed Celtics | 35c | 1,536$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 24c | 1,498$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.57 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa5…3f52backed Celtics | 8c | 1,434$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Celtics | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Knicks | 60c | 1,249$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.61 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Knicks | 66c | 1,246$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.59 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfd…a801backed Knicks | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1190…936abacked Celtics | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked Knicks | 62c | 1,200$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.99 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc93a…8b69backed Celtics | 43c | 1,150$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a976backed Knicks | 59c | 1,120$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.7 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Celtics | 35c | 1,069$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.73 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Knicks | 66c | 1,020$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.02 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Celtics | 5c | 1,009$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Knicks | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Celtics | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50df…1f07backed Celtics | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Celtics | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Knicks | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e349backed Knicks | 61c | 956.23$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Celtics | 37c | 924.45$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.35 | 267 | 49.8%133 W · 134 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed Knicks | 61c | 916.39$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.39 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Celtics | 38c | 866.89$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.42 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Knicks | 48c | 866.72$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.19 | 355 | 32.4%115 W · 240 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Celtics | 39c | 823.56$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.2 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Celtics | 38c | 800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…366bbacked Celtics | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…a857backed Celtics | 38c | 792.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Knicks | 67c | 756.27$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.57 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Celtics | 40c | 749.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Knicksthis page
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.