NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd431a69cc90eb2c878c93e0720db96bf2ae7a27dfb7572cd8a928296e9cd8032
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f59…1176backed Over | 49c | 84,166$41,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,241.34 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…d2d0backed Under | 51c | 80,000$40,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,200 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3cdcbacked Under | 51c | 59,196$30,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,006.04 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…3bedbacked Over | 49c | 18,961$9,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,290.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81b…a52bbacked Under | 51c | 15,415$7,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,553.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8329…e118backed Over | 49c | 13,760$6,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,742.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c91…a39abacked Under | 51c | 10,896$5,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,339.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcde8…8b09backed Under | 51c | 10,764$5,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,274.36 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…ce49backed Over | 49c | 10,374$5,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,083.26 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb690…8efbbacked Over | 49c | 10,065$4,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,931.85 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2e…1980backed Over | 49c | 9,364$4,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,588.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113a…1251backed Over | 49c | 8,753$4,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,288.97 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -48%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…5a80backed Over | 49c | 8,334$4,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,083.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c71…6351backed Over | 49c | 8,034$3,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,936.66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…9086backed Over | 49c | 6,723$3,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,294.27 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 50cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fd…1409backed Under | 51c | 6,194$3,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,035.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab3…e65ebacked Under | 51c | 5,906$3,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…cc39backed Over | 49c | 5,528$2,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,708.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x608e…80b7backed Over | 49c | 5,504$2,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,696.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…10d5backed Over | 49c | 5,474$2,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,682.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03fd…809abacked Under | 51c | 4,932$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ad…c966backed Over | 49c | 4,127$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec53…e599backed Under | 51c | 3,825$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebeb…b876backed Over | 49c | 3,801$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b6…4c57backed Over | 49c | 3,644$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094b…c415backed Under | 51c | 3,286$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45dc…92afbacked Under | 51c | 3,257$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe87…6b3cbacked Under | 51c | 2,889$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…bc6bbacked Under | 51c | 2,857$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc5…7d2ebacked Over | 49c | 2,630$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c5…d305backed Under | 51c | 2,484$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffa…9f0ebacked Under | 51c | 2,234$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.66 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x807b…ea2fbacked Over | 49c | 2,156$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…42e1backed Over | 49c | 2,104$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…d5b0backed Over | 49c | 1,910$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d3…14a7backed Under | 51c | 1,747$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f1…6e8dbacked Under | 51c | 1,590$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…63adbacked Under | 51c | 1,581$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0df…65a5backed Over | 49c | 1,372$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…b6ffbacked Over | 49c | 1,202$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf53f…174bbacked Under | 51c | 1,196$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7331…2923backed Under | 51c | 1,131$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…e366backed Over | 49c | 1,022$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25b2…6703backed Over | 49c | 1,014$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…f3b3backed Over | 49c | 929$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.21 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…22d2backed Over | 53c | 743.02$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 660.43$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.95 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e7…0e78backed Over | 49c | 617$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf373…dc57backed Over | 49c | 589$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.61 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e6…7e59backed Under | 51c | 589$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.61 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb004…c887backed Over | 49c | 576$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…0c17backed Under | 51c | 558$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 51c | 402.42$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.8 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…5b77backed Under | 51c | 378$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…f402backed Over | 49c | 348$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.52 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e43…0f60backed Over | 49c | 339$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635c…8a90backed Over | 49c | 302$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47b5…b3b2backed Under | 51c | 288$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f5…46e3backed Under | 51c | 270$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f1…ef5dbacked Under | 51c | 267$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Over | 53c | 237.39$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…8c39backed Over | 49c | 229$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.21 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c2…40d5backed Under | 51c | 221$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37c…ba27backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…876cbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 53c | 169$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…08dcbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa4…a1bfbacked Over | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5this page
- Celtics vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.