TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc37c…ba27

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
203
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NHL, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 61 out of 100; worst Tweets at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT7338.4%28 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Jazz vs. Rocketsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Wizards vs. Cavaliersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$156
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$74
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40.67
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$131.11
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$59.4
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+68.7%+$69.04
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+341.8%+$425.49
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Pelicans vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$21
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+525%+$84
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Jazz vs. Thunderbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Hawks vs. Thunderbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Pacers vs. Rocketsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Warriors vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Grizzlies vs. Thunderbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Jazz vs. Nuggetsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+455.6%+$82
Bucks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Spurs vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$60.8
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5437%20 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.25
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$86
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$59
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$72.33
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$216.67
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$367.5
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,146Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+83.2%+$954
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,252Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+59.8%+$748.46
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,230Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+30%+$1,269.58
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$629.42
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$117
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.6
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.33
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$661Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+93.4%+$617.18
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$11.94
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+54.5%+$38.34
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+25%+$20
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Ratones (BO5)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$518
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+25%+$22
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+90.6%+$181.29
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+57.5%+$146
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$92.9
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+38.9%+$28
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$10.12
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$228.75
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.2
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+84.3%+$91.5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$106
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.39per pick48cpaid+90%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$157
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$43.02
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$119.33
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$108.07
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$26
All 8 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-65.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$27.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $200 October 20-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$218
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.