NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fe6c87cbef1fcc37ddde5f65c22773ce7f865b0af93257719f30ed807dfab25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Flyers, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $804,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $782,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $804,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 840 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Senators | 61c | 319,706$194,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125,525.52 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Flyers | 39c | 183,258$71,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,470.6 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Flyers | 41c | 107,167$43,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,938.37 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Flyers | 31c | 80,000$24,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,399.85 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Flyers | 39c | 60,000$23,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,400 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Senators | 58c | 55,000$32,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,850 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Flyers | 42c | 54,029$22,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,692.33 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Flyers | 40c | 43,342$17,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,336.91 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Senators | 59c | 37,107$21,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,214.02 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Flyers | 42c | 33,742$14,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,168.72 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Senators | 80c | 18,707$14,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,816.2 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Flyers | 41c | 13,238$5,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,418.65 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Senators | 58c | 11,111$6,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,666.62 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Flyers | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…61f2backed Flyers | 41c | 9,500$3,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,895 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Senators | 60c | 8,995$5,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,598 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Flyers | 42c | 8,232$3,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,457.4 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba32…235bbacked Senators | 60c | 7,912$4,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,164.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3065…c192backed Flyers | 40c | 7,912$3,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,164.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…d8c7backed Senators | 59c | 7,780$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,189.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Flyers | 42c | 7,762$3,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,260.14 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Flyers | 42c | 7,143$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Flyers | 41c | 6,877$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,810.76 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Senators | 80c | 5,645$4,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Flyers | 40c | 5,633$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.91 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flyers | 40c | 5,556$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.53 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Senators | 60c | 5,500$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Senators | 59c | 5,000$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Flyers | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.96 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…0333backed Senators | 59c | 4,300$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Senators | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.99 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Senators | 59c | 3,400$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Senators | 59c | 2,750$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.5 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Senators | 59c | 2,543$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.63 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7780…f218backed Flyers | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.98 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Flyers | 43c | 2,329$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.76 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Senators | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Senators | 61c | 2,000$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Flyers | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a3…801cbacked Flyers | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Senators | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.98 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Flyers | 39c | 1,918$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.21 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1b…3539backed Senators | 60c | 1,900$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f02…2d67backed Flyers | 41c | 1,900$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Senators | 58c | 1,877$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.38 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Senators | 57c | 1,653$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.97 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…2c46backed Senators | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Flyers | 40c | 1,500$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a0…dd5bbacked Senators | 60c | 1,478$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f2…f133backed Flyers | 41c | 1,477$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0904…4a6ebacked Flyers | 41c | 1,400$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Senators | 60c | 1,328$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.87 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flyers | 39c | 1,325$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.02 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc913…81d6backed Senators | 61c | 1,250$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b95…d040backed Flyers | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Flyers | 40c | 1,225$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Flyers | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Senators | 60c | 1,200$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Senators | 60c | 1,167$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Flyers | 57c | 1,076$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.44 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x57af…1a28backed Senators | 61c | 1,056$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Flyers | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730d…6cfabacked Flyers | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Senators | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked Senators | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…c552backed Flyers | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…9c77backed Senators | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…8d6cbacked Senators | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Senators | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…688fbacked Flyers | 41c | 980$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Senators | 51c | 962.94$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.92 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Flyers | 41c | 863$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.83 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf57…6dffbacked Flyers | 41c | 853.66$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f6…6e69backed Senators | 60c | 853.48$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.39 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Senators | 80c | 840.01$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.84 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Senators | 58c | 816.51$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.81 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf047…03fcbacked Senators | 60c | 803.33$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…c8cfbacked Senators | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…7d03backed Flyers | 41c | 783.73$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0b87backed Senators | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Senators | 51c | 653.18$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.07 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Flyers | 50c | 620.85$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.19 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked Senators | 60c | 600$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked Senators | 60c | 600$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Senators | 60c | 600$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -6.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed Senators | 60c | 600$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flyers | 39c | 541.03$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Senators | 64c | 516.07$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.86 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…a742backed Senators | 60c | 510$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Flyers | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…a94fbacked Senators | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d8…6514backed Senators | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Flyers | 41c | 489$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.37 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Flyers | 44c | 474.14$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Senators | 58c | 414.72$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.07 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Senators | 60c | 407.95$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.59 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Senators | 56c | 402.08$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.71 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed Senators | 60c | 388.32$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.33 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Senators | 59c | 379.55$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.62 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Senators | 75c | 378.22$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.37 | 120 | 70.8%85 W · 35 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Senatorsthis page
- Flyers vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Under won
- Flyers vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.