TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Blues

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Kings, Blues
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$771,726
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$772,047

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $771,726 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 876 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2131…aaf2backed Kings46c184,516$84,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,314.965253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Kings48c161,198$76,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,242.314057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed88…f3c4backed Kings46c156,158$71,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,329.299340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Blues52c75,000$39,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,0004949%24 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Blues55c70,038$38,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,521.1230944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Blues54c49,714$26,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,847.6216743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Blues54c48,127$25,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,909.3130848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed Blues54c47,470$25,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,633.82369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Blues54c46,258$24,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,986.4741246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec65…cf87backed Kings46c37,211$17,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,093.86475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+51.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Blues53c30,065$16,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,033.1913251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Blues52c28,065$14,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,658.240550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Kings46c23,099$10,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,573.5331546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Blues53c20,000$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,6001,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6253…20a6backed Blues54c20,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,8004447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Kings73c17,716$12,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,735.212657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Kings45c15,555$7,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,530.721,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc29a…7816backed Blues53c12,500$6,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,624.988240.2%33 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Blues29c11,429$3,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,370.331,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Blues53c11,111$5,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,888.8321850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Blues48c10,379$4,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,972.7558841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Blues53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,30019555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Blues53c9,406$4,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,98588151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Blues55c8,995$4,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,947.2370547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Kings46c8,700$4,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,697.9919451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed Kings53c8,560$4,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,008.266046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Blues35c8,451$2,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,941.4792848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Blues52c8,000$4,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,16014253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Blues54c7,500$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0506737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Blues55c5,721$3,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,13715646.2%72 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Kings76c5,000$3,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.8326344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Blues53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.9893953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Blues53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.9630551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Blues54c4,967$2,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,684.5630549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…f0cabacked Kings45c4,164$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,273.953246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e85…bb56backed Blues54c4,158$2,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,245.21936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x075f…833cbacked Blues54c4,158$2,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,245.161020%2 W · 8 L-3.7wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-63.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blues42c4,103$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.211,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Blues54c4,000$2,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1401546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Blues53c3,600$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90812245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ea…380dbacked Blues54c3,491$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8853636.1%13 W · 23 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-28.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Blues53c3,473$1,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,840.6987447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blues54c3,255$1,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,762.861,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Blues52c3,000$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5584067.5%27 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+29%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Blues55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Blues53c2,756$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.0137847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Blues9c2,666$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9429412.9%38 W · 256 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Kings61c2,578$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.5495049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x305e…7d29backed Blues54c2,194$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1851936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked Blues54c2,141$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1563053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Blues53c2,074$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.2152050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blues52c2,001$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.4372847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe544…ab18backed Blues54c2,000$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0706162.3%38 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e6f…ffaabacked Blues55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10011947.9%57 W · 62 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50ff…2037backed Kings46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0802937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked Blues54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0806657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Blues53c1,956$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.062,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Blues54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007149.3%35 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Blues35c1,799$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.2427044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdda2…4375backed Blues53c1,600$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8483650%18 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Kings46c1,600$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86425447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blues54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8101,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66f3…2252backed Blues55c1,326$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Kings46c1,304$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.3548050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5af…bd3ebacked Blues55c1,236$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b6…8909backed Blues55c1,212$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Blues25c1,175$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.611,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Kings46c1,002$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5418536.5%31 W · 54 L-11.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Blues53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53014945%67 W · 82 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86c5…f0ecbacked Blues56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x307f…2c81backed Kings45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+78.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Blues31c1,000$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3128932.6%29 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30d8…f6edbacked Blues55c990.91$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e2…9007backed Blues55c960$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9195…72a4backed Blues54c925.92$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012742.5%54 W · 73 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f84…e0fbbacked Blues54c907.31$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.952245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Kings46c870$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.861959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Blues54c814.98$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.0975155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kings47c800$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42468449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Blues56c754.98$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.2489249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce5…bdafbacked Blues36c713.6$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.542839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings64c666.62$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.433,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Blues54c661.63$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.0262249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blues52c625.66$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.341,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf9…88febacked Kings46c615$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa585…a793backed Blues55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cfd…a801backed Kings45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Blues51c593.7$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.53850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Blues55c590.46$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.211,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x474b…a13cbacked Blues29c560$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.9350%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Blues54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30031848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd231…6067backed Kings46c554$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3f1…1ec7backed Blues52c542.54$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.182828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba13…8e3bbacked Kings46c540$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6acc…05ecbacked Kings46c528$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d98…b470backed Kings46c517$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8e…a742backed Blues56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2803857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Blues55c499.99$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.391250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefb1…19bcbacked Kings45c498.22$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe206…b9f3backed Blues54c494.31$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.