NFL · resolved market
Jaguars vs. Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ff4ba970cc7120f2933344a7e4c424b73d32efbd47b04eb5fcb82662484b074
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jaguarsof Jaguars, Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,496,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,595,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,496,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 594 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe041…9bddbacked Raiders | 0c | 199,994$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Raiders | 49c | 114,927$56,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,084.86 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Jaguars | 59c | 95,308$56,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,746.22 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Jaguars | 55c | 70,000$38,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,500 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Jaguars | 53c | 63,832$33,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,026.45 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Raiders | 44c | 57,629$25,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,617.11 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Raiders | 44c | 49,000$21,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,669.91 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Jaguars | 56c | 42,637$23,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,736.53 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Raiders | 45c | 41,226$18,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,409.63 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Raiders | 50c | 37,202$18,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,495.44 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Jaguars | 55c | 35,934$19,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,170.3 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Raiders | 39c | 35,756$13,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,946.51 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Raiders | 47c | 35,375$16,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,600.7 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Jaguars | 61c | 35,000$21,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,650 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jaguars | 46c | 33,741$15,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,159.56 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Raiders | 45c | 30,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Jaguars | 54c | 28,104$15,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,792.59 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Raiders | 44c | 25,866$11,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,503.2 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Raiders | 54c | 23,146$12,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,412.74 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Raiders | 51c | 21,833$11,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,225.69 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…25b0backed Jaguars | 56c | 21,136$11,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,299.84 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Raiders | 45c | 20,785$9,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,353.25 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Jaguars | 54c | 20,140$10,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,197.38 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0584…de3ebacked Jaguars | 56c | 19,643$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,642.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Jaguars | 56c | 17,987$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,987.19 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6adb…a902backed Jaguars | 46c | 17,492$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,492.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Raiders | 61c | 14,734$8,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,987.67 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Raiders | 39c | 14,094$5,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,536.65 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Jaguars | 56c | 13,382$7,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,894.66 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Raiders | 43c | 13,111$5,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,602.93 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jaguars | 54c | 12,720$6,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,837 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Jaguars | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Jaguars | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Raiders | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Jaguars | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,230 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +7.2wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Jaguars | 56c | 8,918$4,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,939.23 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Jaguars | 57c | 8,365$4,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,561.3 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Raiders | 46c | 8,214$3,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,740.26 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Raiders | 30c | 8,019$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.94 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jaguars | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Jaguars | 64c | 7,731$4,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,783.1 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Raiders | 45c | 7,500$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,375 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Raiders | 45c | 7,300$3,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,285 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Raiders | 43c | 6,754$2,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,912.13 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Jaguars | 55c | 6,727$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,027.21 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Jaguars | 54c | 6,578$3,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.06 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d2…2280backed Raiders | 60c | 6,288$3,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,772.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Jaguars | 50c | 6,000$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Jaguars | 57c | 6,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.99 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Jaguars | 44c | 5,680$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Raiders | 67c | 5,261$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.81 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Jaguars | 50c | 5,214$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604.89 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Raiders | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Raiders | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Jaguars | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Raiders | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Raiders | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Raiders | 33c | 4,737$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.01 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Raiders | 43c | 4,703$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.2 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Jaguars | 57c | 4,500$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.99 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Raiders | 43c | 4,346$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.98 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Raiders | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Jaguars | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Raiders | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…0fb2backed Raiders | 67c | 3,991$2,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Jaguars | 54c | 3,770$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.12 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raiders | 45c | 3,590$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.42 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Jaguars | 56c | 3,539$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.01 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Raiders | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Raiders | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Raiders | 45c | 3,351$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.26 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Raiders | 50c | 3,265$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.15 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Jaguars | 46c | 3,143$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.65 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Jaguars | 57c | 3,127$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.91 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Jaguars | 55c | 3,118$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.67 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…078abacked Jaguars | 54c | 3,000$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Raiders | 44c | 2,909$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.04 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Raiders | 46c | 2,538$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.25 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Jaguars | 53c | 2,502$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.47 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Jaguars | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Jaguars | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7628…b822backed Jaguars | 48c | 2,400$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…234dbacked Raiders | 57c | 2,325$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Raiders | 40c | 2,297$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.31 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Raiders | 33c | 2,295$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.19 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Jaguars | 55c | 2,240$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.99 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Jaguars | 55c | 2,148$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.08 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Raiders | 44c | 2,111$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.81 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Jaguars | 36c | 2,015$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.51 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Jaguars | 64c | 2,009$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.21 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…239fbacked Jaguars | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2c…94c5backed Jaguars | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Jaguars | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.06 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fa…ae2ebacked Jaguars | 60c | 1,933$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…6576backed Jaguars | 43c | 1,780$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Raiders | 1c | 1,710$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…5c3cbacked Raiders | 59c | 1,690$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Raiders | 16c | 1,557$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.35 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d7…126cbacked Jaguars | 67c | 1,509$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Raiders | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.99 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jaguars vs. Raidersthis page
- Jaguars vs. Raiders: 1H MoneylineRaiders won
- Jaguars vs. Raiders: O/U 43.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. Raiders: O/U 44.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. Raiders: O/U 45.5Over won
- Raiders Team Total: O/U 20.5Over won
- Spread: Jaguars (-2.5)Raiders won
- Spread: Jaguars (-3.5)Raiders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.