TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1b0e…6576

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: College Football, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 56 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.15
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+209.9%+$83.95
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$218.39
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$88
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$230
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+450.9%+$247.97
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Nets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$40
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+58.7%+$17.62
Bulls vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+32%+$43.29
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+69.9%+$124.42
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+49.4%+$24.72
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+35.1%+$44.2
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$37.25
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$135.46
Grizzlies vs. Raptorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.83
All 23 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California vs. Stanfordbacked Stanford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+316.7%+$45.6
North Texas vs. Ricebacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+42.9%+$18
Colorado State vs. Boise Statebacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20.95
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Penn Statebacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$280
Jacksonville State vs. Florida Internationalbacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$39.63
TCU vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Kansas State vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+150%+$60
Marshall vs. Appalachian Statebacked Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+163.2%+$124
Missouri State vs. Kennesaw Statebacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+47.1%+$18.82
Baylor vs. Arizonabacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Louisville vs. SMU Mustangsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+43%+$17.22
Missouri vs. Oklahomabacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$67
Florida State vs. NC Statebacked NC State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Hawaii vs. UNLVbacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+70.5%+$35.26
Louisiana vs. Arkansas Statebacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Miami (OH) vs. Buffalobacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+69.7%+$7.28
Tulane vs. Memphisbacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$53.12
Houston vs. UCFbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+72.9%+$71.4
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+185.7%+$37.14
Bruins vs. Kingsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+116.3%+$49.95
Kings vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+84.8%+$390.01
Senators vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$66
Blues vs. Flyersbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Bruins vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Hurricanes vs. Wildbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Flames vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Utah vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+26.6%+$22.05
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+25%+$16.93
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Lightning vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Panthers vs. Kingsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$35.14
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-37.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas State Wildcats vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+92.3%+$48
Evansville Aces vs. Oregon State Beaversbacked Evansville Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+33.3%+$10
Denver Pioneers vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Colorado State Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$38
SIUE Cougars vs. Air Force Falconsbacked SIUE Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25.99
Louisville Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Bearcatsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$42
Clemson Tigers vs. West Virginia Mountaineersbacked West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Wisconsin Badgers vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$24.69
Utah State Aggies vs. Tulane Green Wavebacked Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Troy Trojans vs. USC Trojansbacked Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50.29
Kansas State Wildcats vs. Mississippi State Bulldogsbacked Kansas State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+37%+$18.5
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+138.1%+$40.6
All 14 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+96.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+85.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+270.4%+$135.19
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$3,087Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$3,087.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will EC Bahia win on 2025-11-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$21.4
Will EC Juventude win on 2025-11-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$80
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.