TailMyPicks

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College Football · resolved market

Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Penn State

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Penn Stateof Nebraska Cornhuskers, Penn State
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,497
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,536

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,497 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf152…64aabacked Penn State73c30,000$21,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,099.995064%32 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers27c29,397$8,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,054.4781847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf4…8860backed Nebraska Cornhuskers21c24,500$5,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,154.94955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Penn State72c22,037$15,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,170.435152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Nebraska Cornhuskers28c16,405$4,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,593.432745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Penn State80c14,619$11,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,955.9758850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Nebraska Cornhuskers27c11,111$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010342.7%44 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Penn State79c6,272$4,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.9717443.7%76 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Penn State71c4,747$3,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.0186243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Penn State65c4,746$3,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.9719842.9%85 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e08…5613backed Nebraska Cornhuskers1c4,129$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Penn State74c3,666$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.846656.1%37 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Nebraska Cornhuskers10c3,190$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.3768440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Nebraska Cornhuskers27c3,140$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.2864841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Penn State72c2,688$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.5949443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Nebraska Cornhuskers28c2,171$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.4638450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Penn State73c2,070$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.862763%17 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5603650%18 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Nebraska Cornhuskers4c1,983$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70806.3%5 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Nebraska Cornhuskers27c1,800$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.9934529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b0e…6576backed Nebraska Cornhuskers16c1,767$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Penn State72c1,753$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.1765945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers11c1,736$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.8440541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Penn State80c1,417$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.755350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Penn State73c1,292$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.8911851.7%61 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Nebraska Cornhuskers14c1,275$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.5813933.1%46 W · 93 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers25c1,260$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.8721538.6%83 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e8…2867backed Nebraska Cornhuskers1c1,160$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1080%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c22…8f64backed Nebraska Cornhuskers28c1,143$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-76.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers25c1,140$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28520450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7bf…b567backed Nebraska Cornhuskers23c1,049$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404540%18 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Penn State72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28010742.1%45 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Penn State75c968.78$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.950358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa9…1351backed Nebraska Cornhuskers21c862.1$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.480%0 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers25c693.54$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.3913417.2%23 W · 111 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67e3…e5b3backed Nebraska Cornhuskers19c551.96$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.495127.5%14 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Penn State72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1408851.1%45 W · 43 L+9.3wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+11.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Nebraska Cornhuskers32c493.7$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.2463243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd162…0d24backed Nebraska Cornhuskers16c462.25$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a4…caf5backed Nebraska Cornhuskers3c415$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14476.4%3 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-67.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Nebraska Cornhuskers26c413.21$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.931,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Penn State72c392.86$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1107642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Nebraska Cornhuskers28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005724.6%14 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bd9…9ef5backed Penn State74c338.92$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.921172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7864…d437backed Nebraska Cornhuskers6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Penn State72c322.8$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9228440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3475…eea8backed Nebraska Cornhuskers16c315.69$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515042%21 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Penn State71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6910664.2%68 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Penn State73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9717946.9%84 W · 95 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Nebraska Cornhuskers28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610848.1%52 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nebraska Cornhuskers28c186$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.654243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x810c…51cabacked Penn State72c180.56$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.561181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3c0…4bf8backed Nebraska Cornhuskers28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa9…bad5backed Nebraska Cornhuskers19c122.84$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.434854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Nebraska Cornhuskers27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2747331.5%149 W · 324 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed Nebraska Cornhuskers15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151020%2 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Nebraska Cornhuskers28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810445.2%47 W · 57 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c0…be99backed Nebraska Cornhuskers29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71bd…6fcbbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Nebraska Cornhuskers29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2529351.9%152 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5320…f3b2backed Nebraska Cornhuskers18c84.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick43cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ad7…86bfbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207234.7%25 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Nebraska Cornhuskers19c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.53844.7%17 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Penn State73c77$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.797846.2%36 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Nebraska Cornhuskers26c77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0224436.9%90 W · 154 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203132.3%10 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38ab…75ffbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55f4…959cbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206250%31 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x614b…5845backed Penn State73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.491361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf071…cbcbbacked Penn State74c57.98$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.121631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-36.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Penn State71c49.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.524157.3%138 W · 103 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x439f…bdedbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers28c46.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers29c40.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4626846.3%124 W · 144 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8639…fb86backed Nebraska Cornhuskers27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.87441.9%31 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Penn State73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.810851.9%56 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e8…a236backed Nebraska Cornhuskers28c39.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112060%12 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb19f…5bb9backed Penn State77c31.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…fcf3backed Penn State75c30.55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b23…bbb5backed Penn State70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.573148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1940…bfb1backed Penn State73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79ac…e8efbacked Penn State75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick77cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98d7…95d4backed Penn State74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.172548%12 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad0e…fd92backed Penn State75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick77cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25b6…7e72backed Penn State75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5887.5%7 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick77cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20f0…50d8backed Penn State75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc95…88c1backed Penn State75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick77cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d52…8525backed Penn State73c15.07$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.