TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe6e8…2867

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
152
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Olympics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Olympics at 56 out of 100; worst UFC at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST8910.1%9 W · 80 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$350
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$879Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$878.64
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100.12
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+919.3%+$1,011.21
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$122
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$165
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+1,622.2%+$486.67
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Jets vs. Jaguarsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Cardinals vs. Texansbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2810.7%3 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-50.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+629.9%+$629.93
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.27
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.76
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST80%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2024, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick13cpaid+259.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+378.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+901.3%+$405.57
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$167.39
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 3 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$1,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Topuria vs. Hollowaybacked Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Whittaker vs. Chimaevbacked Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Diddy released from custody before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.