College Football · resolved market
Illinois vs. Wisconsin Badgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b035637c230942345b20c2951cee7327acb5fb091c1fc013ebe7b98bd203ac4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wisconsin Badgersof Illinois, Wisconsin Badgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 49c | 31,226$15,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,840.7 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Illinois | 10c | 10,656$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.44 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Illinois | 45c | 10,372$4,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,706.32 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Illinois | 47c | 6,828$3,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,224 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Illinois | 40c | 6,169$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.07 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wisconsin Badgers | 46c | 3,909$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.47 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 72c | 2,224$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.16 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Wisconsin Badgers | 25c | 1,908$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.03 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Illinois | 76c | 1,604$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.35 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Illinois | 76c | 1,358$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.58 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Illinois | 28c | 1,344$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.99 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 52c | 1,235$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.95 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Illinois | 75c | 1,150$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.54 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wisconsin Badgers | 24c | 1,055$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.31 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Illinois | 62c | 1,001$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.6 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Illinois | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 67c | 955.03$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.98 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Wisconsin Badgers | 24c | 853$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.28 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed Illinois | 44c | 815.91$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b4…27f7backed Illinois | 61c | 792.46$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Illinois | 35c | 787.95$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.4 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 24c | 779.88$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.71 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Illinois | 45c | 663.77$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.77 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Illinois | 51c | 651.58$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.35 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…0123backed Illinois | 59c | 606.53$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.76 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Illinois | 74c | 599.92$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.9 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wisconsin Badgers | 74c | 585.89$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.39 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 24c | 569.37$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.72 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…2867backed Illinois | 4c | 568.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Illinois | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d3…b524backed Illinois | 59c | 444.21$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6267…50d1backed Illinois | 75c | 421$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Wisconsin Badgers | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9083…622ebacked Illinois | 74c | 336.69$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Wisconsin Badgers | 25c | 335.88$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.68 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Illinois | 56c | 238$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.61 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Illinois | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Wisconsin Badgers | 48c | 212.33$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.87 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5e…e87cbacked Illinois | 57c | 208.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…e602backed Wisconsin Badgers | 26c | 201$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Wisconsin Badgers | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…caf5backed Illinois | 17c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Illinois | 75c | 196.26$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…a829backed Illinois | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wisconsin Badgers | 50c | 173.98$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.92 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9492…1f25backed Illinois | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Wisconsin Badgers | 24c | 165.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Wisconsin Badgers | 26c | 158$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.92 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Wisconsin Badgers | 42c | 157.12$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.37 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wisconsin Badgers | 24c | 154.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.51 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed Illinois | 45c | 151.03$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd457…0823backed Illinois | 62c | 146.16$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Illinois | 76c | 132$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 26 | 92.3%24 W · 2 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 73cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Illinois | 66c | 126.47$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.47 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e3aebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 26c | 122$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Illinois | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Illinois | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Wisconsin Badgers | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3952…3affbacked Illinois | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Illinois | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f10…c89cbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 26c | 98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…d8d8backed Illinois | 32c | 92.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Wisconsin Badgers | 24c | 91.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.73 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Wisconsin Badgers | 56c | 87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…45cebacked Illinois | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wisconsin Badgers | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 25c | 79.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc97a…dbe3backed Illinois | 46c | 79.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f95…cd47backed Wisconsin Badgers | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d2…0db2backed Illinois | 36c | 72.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…80bbbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 26c | 72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed Wisconsin Badgers | 46c | 69.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada3…0120backed Illinois | 50c | 69.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…5845backed Illinois | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Wisconsin Badgers | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0374…99c7backed Illinois | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Illinois | 69c | 57.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6df…d977backed Wisconsin Badgers | 44c | 54.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Illinois | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Wisconsin Badgers | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…39c7backed Illinois | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Wisconsin Badgers | 49c | 49.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…ed1dbacked Illinois | 64c | 46.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.7wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Illinois | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Illinois | 56c | 38.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed Illinois | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a6…552fbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 57c | 35.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…e5b3backed Illinois | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Wisconsin Badgers | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Illinois | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Wisconsin Badgers | 60c | 28.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…d977backed Wisconsin Badgers | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…4e6cbacked Illinois | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…26d5backed Illinois | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…bd1fbacked Illinois | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1940…bfb1backed Illinois | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed Illinois | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…5d1bbacked Illinois | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8f…3186backed Illinois | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Illinois vs. Wisconsin Badgersthis page
- O/U 41.5Under won
- Spread: Illinois (-7.5)Wisconsin Badgers won
- Spread: Illinois (-8.5)Wisconsin Badgers won
- Spread: Illinois (-9.5)Wisconsin Badgers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.