TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0374…99c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst College Football at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT5461.1%33 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Nets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+236.8%+$59.2
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$49.5
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+100%+$38
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+53.8%+$18.85
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+66.7%+$23.33
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50.5
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+72.4%+$23.1
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+69.5%+$29.88
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+47.1%+$11.2
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+51.5%+$12.36
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+127.3%+$31.82
Nets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+51.5%+$15.45
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Wizards vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$33.76
Nets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Duke vs. Virginiabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
SMU Mustangs vs. Californiabacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
UCLA vs. USCbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+38.9%+$13.61
LSU vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+100%+$25
California vs. Stanfordbacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Illinois vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Kansas State vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+88.7%+$22.17
Michigan State vs. Iowabacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Florida Gators vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+49.3%+$13.3
California vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$26.25
LSU vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+53.8%+$14
Wake Forest vs. Virginiabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22.4
Iowa State vs. TCUbacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$22.4
Georgia vs. Mississippi Statebacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+56.3%+$14.4
Indiana vs. Penn Statebacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+38.9%+$11.2
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+88.7%+$22.17
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+78.6%+$19.64
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Giants vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$19.64
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+177.8%+$53.33
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Saints vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.