NFL · resolved market
Buccaneers vs. Bills
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3547f3c3a0a399892de7d6cf83d64a3de3a0a90dcc469438f2dad6aee4e346a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Billsof Buccaneers, Bills
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,251,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,311,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,251,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 583 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bills | 72c | 234,926$168,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,803.44 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Buccaneers | 29c | 121,000$35,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,390 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Buccaneers | 29c | 90,000$26,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,099.91 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Bills | 71c | 81,348$57,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,591 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Bills | 72c | 62,365$45,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,202.12 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Bills | 69c | 53,874$37,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,701 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Buccaneers | 28c | 50,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Buccaneers | 27c | 47,138$12,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,821.04 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Buccaneers | 29c | 45,000$13,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,050 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Buccaneers | 28c | 45,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,599.99 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…2493backed Buccaneers | 29c | 41,379$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3db…0b3cbacked Bills | 74c | 30,680$22,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,069.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Bills | 71c | 30,000$21,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,700 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Bills | 70c | 28,068$19,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,420.31 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bills | 71c | 26,965$19,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,880.45 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Bills | 66c | 26,693$17,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,037.02 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Bills | 76c | 21,502$16,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,112.2 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Bills | 75c | 20,030$15,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,007.58 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Buccaneers | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Buccaneers | 31c | 20,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Buccaneers | 26c | 18,789$4,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,871.36 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Bills | 71c | 17,296$12,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,015.84 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Buccaneers | 29c | 15,921$4,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,617.11 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Buccaneers | 29c | 15,640$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Buccaneers | 30c | 15,000$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Buccaneers | 27c | 15,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Bills | 71c | 14,583$10,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,229.06 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Buccaneers | 27c | 13,196$3,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,578.84 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858c…c479backed Buccaneers | 31c | 12,961$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Buccaneers | 29c | 12,421$3,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,662.09 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Bills | 73c | 12,172$8,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,284.05 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bills | 71c | 11,500$8,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,335 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bills | 71c | 10,947$7,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,174.77 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aec…1158backed Bills | 73c | 10,642$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,864.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Buccaneers | 31c | 10,144$3,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,140.88 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Buccaneers | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bills | 71c | 8,619$6,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.51 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Buccaneers | 28c | 8,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…9241backed Buccaneers | 30c | 7,617$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Buccaneers | 29c | 7,536$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.74 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Buccaneers | 30c | 7,500$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Bills | 71c | 6,914$4,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.76 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Buccaneers | 18c | 6,830$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.73 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Buccaneers | 28c | 6,550$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Bills | 73c | 5,730$4,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.12 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Bills | 72c | 5,438$3,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.71 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Bills | 73c | 5,316$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.24 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bills | 64c | 5,203$3,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.88 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a5…6a63backed Buccaneers | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Buccaneers | 29c | 4,500$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Buccaneers | 29c | 4,401$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.75 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Buccaneers | 31c | 4,351$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.28 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c11…4ee9backed Buccaneers | 29c | 4,196$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Bills | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Bills | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Buccaneers | 29c | 3,699$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.93 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…1ba1backed Bills | 55c | 3,642$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.55 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bills | 71c | 3,570$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.24 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Buccaneers | 28c | 3,497$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.16 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 37cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Bills | 75c | 3,496$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.1 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bills | 80c | 3,468$2,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.56 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bills | 77c | 3,431$2,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.57 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Buccaneers | 33c | 3,416$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Buccaneers | 35c | 3,266$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.82 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Buccaneers | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…3ba7backed Buccaneers | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Buccaneers | 36c | 2,962$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.94 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Bills | 72c | 2,957$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.74 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf6…af1ebacked Bills | 72c | 2,797$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.84 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Buccaneers | 31c | 2,683$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.51 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Buccaneers | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 38cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Bills | 71c | 2,386$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.02 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Buccaneers | 1c | 2,333$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a6…9c48backed Buccaneers | 31c | 2,315$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c0…55ffbacked Buccaneers | 31c | 2,301$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.92 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Buccaneers | 25c | 2,278$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.77 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ac…74cbbacked Buccaneers | 49c | 2,195$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Buccaneers | 29c | 2,169$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.89 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bills | 73c | 2,153$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.05 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2135…f305backed Buccaneers | 28c | 2,063$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.4 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Bills | 70c | 2,036$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.6 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…472ebacked Bills | 71c | 2,025$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Buccaneers | 25c | 2,017$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Buccaneers | 27c | 2,006$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.33 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Buccaneers | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -53%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Buccaneers | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Buccaneers | 28c | 2,000$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.99 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Buccaneers | 29c | 1,972$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.56 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Bills | 71c | 1,957$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.12 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Buccaneers | 1c | 1,937$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…611cbacked Buccaneers | 26c | 1,927$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…0aa5backed Bills | 72c | 1,913$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Bills | 72c | 1,849$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.78 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…d567backed Buccaneers | 25c | 1,818$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.12 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bills | 74c | 1,720$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.15 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a0…8b0fbacked Buccaneers | 28c | 1,614$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Buccaneers | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Bills | 72c | 1,598$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.92 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bills | 71c | 1,571$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.98 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Buccaneers | 28c | 1,500$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Buccaneers vs. Billsthis page
- Buccaneers vs. Bills: 1H MoneylineBills won
- Buccaneers vs. Bills: 1H O/U 24.5Over won
- Buccaneers vs. Bills: O/U 46.5Over won
- Buccaneers vs. Bills: O/U 47.5Over won
- Buccaneers vs. Bills: O/U 48.5Over won
- Buccaneers vs. Bills: O/U 49.5Over won
- Buccaneers vs. Bills: O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Bills (-5.5)Bills won
- Spread: Bills (-6.5)Bills won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.