NFL · resolved market

Spread: Bills (-5.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb52a4ae88b5dc7e14f5c7e68a5a0c1925ce9f52b3e41d0ab9f0be78d6e149406

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Billsof Bills, Buccaneers
Resolved: Nov 16, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $62,356
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $66,204

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,356 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4a1e…86d3backed Buccaneers	48c	15,358$7,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,371.77	134	50%67 W · 67 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7189…b454backed Bills	52c	15,195$7,901 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,294.25	57	64.9%37 W · 20 L	+7.7wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Buccaneers	46c	11,535$5,362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,362.02	865	47.9%414 W · 451 L	-6.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Bills	54c	9,965$5,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,564.68	181	40.9%74 W · 107 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Bills	52c	9,905$5,127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,778.35	174	54.6%95 W · 79 L	+8.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Buccaneers	46c	7,706$3,545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,544.78	1,196	49.9%597 W · 599 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Buccaneers	48c	3,205$1,538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,538.46	320	50.9%163 W · 157 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Bills	55c	2,770$1,528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,241.5	67	59.7%40 W · 27 L	+6.6wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Buccaneers	45c	2,234$1,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,005.18	831	47.8%397 W · 434 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Bills	54c	2,167$1,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$996.67	53	58.5%31 W · 22 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Buccaneers	45c	2,000$910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-3.9wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Bills	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$939.99	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Bills	54c	1,600$858 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$742.06	77	51.9%40 W · 37 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Buccaneers	48c	1,467$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+15%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a45…dd1dbacked Bills	55c	1,273$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572.73	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-4.3wins	-0.23per pick	49cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Bills	54c	1,050$567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$483	285	56.5%161 W · 124 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bills	54c	1,045$563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$482.07	1,065	51.3%546 W · 519 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Buccaneers	44c	1,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	650	48.3%314 W · 336 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Buccaneers	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Bills	55c	910$501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.5	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	-8.3wins	-0.17per pick	52cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Buccaneers	48c	742$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.16	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bills	54c	645.83$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.08	240	56.7%136 W · 104 L	+19.3wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Buccaneers	48c	600$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8104…ce10backed Buccaneers	46c	563.33$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.13	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-4.6wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Bills	54c	555.56$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.56	66	51.5%34 W · 32 L	+7.5wins	+0.11per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Buccaneers	47c	542.7$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.18	834	47.1%393 W · 441 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3664…35cbbacked Bills	52c	500$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Buccaneers	45c	499.99$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	236	47%111 W · 125 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x161c…3b03backed Bills	52c	484.23$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.93	57	56.1%32 W · 25 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8d7…c17bbacked Bills	54c	450$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207	117	59.8%70 W · 47 L	+8.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x15e3…b3e8backed Buccaneers	47c	319.15$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	86	44.2%38 W · 48 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Buccaneers	48c	312.5$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	205	42%86 W · 119 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad45…c2eabacked Bills	56c	312.5$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.5	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-4.6wins	-0.17per pick	54cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe9ca…e8d0backed Bills	54c	309.82$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.52	71	31%22 W · 49 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-36%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Buccaneers	47c	304.99$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.06	414	50.5%209 W · 205 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc4d…f0b8backed Bills	52c	300.31$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.71	134	48.5%65 W · 69 L	-9.4wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Buccaneers	48c	300$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	394	47.7%188 W · 206 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c62…fe5abacked Buccaneers	47c	299.98$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.99	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bills	45c	295.13$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.67	758	52.5%398 W · 360 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Bills	52c	216$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.68	314	50%157 W · 157 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Buccaneers	48c	210$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	109	48.6%53 W · 56 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36f…fb15backed Bills	52c	210$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.8	86	50%43 W · 43 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7b3…f97cbacked Buccaneers	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	73	49.3%36 W · 37 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Buccaneers	51c	200$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.56	234	47.9%112 W · 122 L	-10.9wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e3…68b9backed Buccaneers	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	68	39.7%27 W · 41 L	-6.7wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe478…28eabacked Bills	54c	200$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3289…4538backed Bills	51c	196$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.04	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Buccaneers	46c	194.41$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.43	532	53%282 W · 250 L	+19.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Bills	54c	190$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.4	121	51.2%62 W · 59 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e0b…cd84backed Buccaneers	46c	149.99$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	80	47.5%38 W · 42 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x258e…d16cbacked Bills	54c	138.89$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.89	87	47.1%41 W · 46 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7555…ce17backed Buccaneers	47c	127.66$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Bills	52c	122.92$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	206	61.2%126 W · 80 L	+12.3wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf629…bda0backed Buccaneers	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	75	49.3%37 W · 38 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2000…df78backed Buccaneers	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	208	51%106 W · 102 L	+12.1wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Bills	47c	104.16$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.2	196	51.5%101 W · 95 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91b2…0566backed Buccaneers	48c	100.37$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.18	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe70a…6a5cbacked Bills	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Buccaneers	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	196	38.8%76 W · 120 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Buccaneers	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	134	35.8%48 W · 86 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Bills	50c	99.35$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.68	130	65.4%85 W · 45 L	+17.2wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7eb7…8d07backed Bills	54c	92.83$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.7	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbecd…9df4backed Bills	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	143	47.6%68 W · 75 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6941…efd5backed Bills	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	132	53%70 W · 62 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Buccaneers	46c	83.47$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.11	736	51.2%377 W · 359 L	+25.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdba…b26abacked Buccaneers	49c	81.63$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Buccaneers	57c	75$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.75	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x019c…643ebacked Bills	52c	75$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf08…9f3fbacked Buccaneers	48c	72.92$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	80	56.3%45 W · 35 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Bills	53c	65.56$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.56	51	64.7%33 W · 18 L	+8.3wins	+0.16per pick	49cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Buccaneers	47c	63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.61	205	55.6%114 W · 91 L	+15.7wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Bills	55c	60$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	96	52.1%50 W · 46 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d50…400bbacked Buccaneers	49c	55.1$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Buccaneers	47c	54.7$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.71	363	41.9%152 W · 211 L	-13.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28df…f940backed Buccaneers	48c	52.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fe9…a400backed Bills	43c	45$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.65	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Bills	57c	43.86$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.86	227	45.4%103 W · 124 L	-7.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x022a…df5ebacked Buccaneers	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	188	43.1%81 W · 107 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x214d…8911backed Buccaneers	60c	41.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	84	46.4%39 W · 45 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Buccaneers	46c	41$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.86	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-9.9wins	-0.19per pick	59cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Buccaneers	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	169	40.8%69 W · 100 L	-7.9wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8936…4891backed Buccaneers	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06f9…5c53backed Buccaneers	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c56…9774backed Bills	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed Bills	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3303…03afbacked Bills	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.20per pick	66cpaid	+28%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Bills	55c	31$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.95	446	52.9%236 W · 210 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x398a…95b7backed Bills	54c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	110	57.3%63 W · 47 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x806c…3381backed Bills	43c	30$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.1	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc13…d9f6backed Bills	55c	27.27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.27	66	51.5%34 W · 32 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a8a…b155backed Buccaneers	47c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.75	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8699…dcb5backed Bills	53c	20.75$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.75	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d41…20bebacked Buccaneers	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee4…0908backed Bills	55c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Bills (-5.5)this page
Buccaneers vs. BillsBills won
Buccaneers vs. Bills: 1H MoneylineBills won
Buccaneers vs. Bills: 1H O/U 24.5Over won
Buccaneers vs. Bills: O/U 46.5Over won
Buccaneers vs. Bills: O/U 47.5Over won
Buccaneers vs. Bills: O/U 48.5Over won
Buccaneers vs. Bills: O/U 49.5Over won
Buccaneers vs. Bills: O/U 50.5Over won
Spread: Bills (-6.5)Bills won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Bills (-5.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event